Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Pogoń Szczecin II		Kluczevia Stargard

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.7	2.02
	2.96	3.6	2.04
	3.13	3.86	1.95	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.04	3.54	2.04	Watch
	3.05	3.52	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)	3.59 ↑ (3.52)	2 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin II
29.8%

Draw
25.1%

Kluczevia Stargard
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25.1%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

23.9%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Kluczevia Stargard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Pogoń Szczecin II - Kluczevia Stargard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Kaczorek M. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Fraczczak A. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Osowski M. ⚽,
83', Kaczorek M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent form of Pogoń Szczecin II has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kluczevia Stargard is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Kluczevia Stargard	10	6	1	3	19:16	3	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
15.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Luzino	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Września	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLLL
- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Elana Toruń - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Noteć Czarnków	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Kluczevia Stargard	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.10.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:0
26.03.22	Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:1
22.08.21	Pogoń Szczecin II - Kluczevia Stargard	5:0

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