Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Wda Świecie		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.75	1.82
	3.75	3.80	1.68
	2.92	3.50	2.07
	3.27	3.81	1.91	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.04
	3.35	3.87	1.91	Watch
	3.45	3.55	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	1.89 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wda Świecie
27.6%

Draw
24.6%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

24.9%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

24.1%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wda Świecie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Zmudz K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
70', 0 - 2, ⚽,
77', 0 - 3, ⚽,
87', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th and 2nd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wda Świecie won 2.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Środa Wielkopolska may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Środa Wielkopolska is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Wda Świecie has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:17 (averaging 1.8:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wda Świecie against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sroda	12	9	3	0	35:16	19	30
5	Wda Swiecie	10	5	3	2	15:14	1	18

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 49.43%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Elana Toruń - Wda Świecie	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Wda Świecie - Noteć Czarnków	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTWWW
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	4:3 ✺
05.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	4:4 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:2
10.10.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wda Świecie	5:1
30.05.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wda Świecie	1:1
09.11.24	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0
10.11.18	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wda Świecie	2:1
28.04.18	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wda Świecie	3:3
23.09.17	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3

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