Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 23

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday


	Knockbreda		Loughgall

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.42
	5.8	4.3	1.42
	6.68	4.22	1.43
	6.15	4.4	1.41
	5.8	4.3	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (5.11)	4.26 ↑ (3.98)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knockbreda
14.9%

Draw
21.3%

Loughgall
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

22.5%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

20.3%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knockbreda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Loughgall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knockbreda than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loughgall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Knockbreda won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Loughgall is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Knockbreda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Knockbreda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knockbreda FC
Northern Irish Championship
03.01.23	Newington - Knockbreda	0:2 ✺
26.12.22	Knockbreda - Ards	3:2 ✺
03.12.22	Knockbreda - Ballyclare Comrades	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Knockbreda - Annagh United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWTLT
- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Championship
02.01.23	Harland & Wolff Welders - Loughgall	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Loughgall - Annagh United	3:0 ✺
10.12.22	Institute FC - Loughgall	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Dergview - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
05.11.22	Knockbreda - Loughgall	0:1
Northern Irish League Cup
13.09.22	Loughgall - Knockbreda	5:0
Northern Irish Championship
23.08.22	Loughgall - Knockbreda	3:0
29.01.22	Loughgall - Knockbreda	4:1
11.09.21	Knockbreda - Loughgall	1:6
16.11.19	Loughgall - Knockbreda	0:3
13.01.18	Knockbreda - Loughgall	1:2

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