Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Ballinamallard United		Knockbreda

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.25	12.5
	1.12	7.5	17
	1.12	7.17	14.04
	1.15	6.81	11.15
	1.12	6.5	12
	1.15	7.1	11.7
	1.14	7	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.3)	7.05 ↑ (5)	13.06 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
80.1%

Draw
12.9%

Knockbreda
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.2%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

17.1%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballinamallard United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballinamallard United's performance.

Knockbreda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballinamallard United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knockbreda than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda Predictions

Users Predictions: Ballinamallard United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ballinamallard United won 4.

Recent matches Ballinamallard United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Knockbreda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Knockbreda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ballinamallard United is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ballinamallard United won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ballinamallard United won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
27.01.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Ballinamallard United	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	Ballinamallard United - Harland & Wolff Welders	4:0 ✺
13.01.24	Ards - Ballinamallard United	0:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	3:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
26.12.23	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL
- Knockbreda FC
Northern Irish Championship
27.01.24	Knockbreda - Annagh United	1:4 ✺
20.01.24	Knockbreda - Newington	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Knockbreda - Dundela	0:1 ✺
26.12.23	Knockbreda - Institute FC	1:4 ✺
23.12.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Knockbreda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
04.11.23	Knockbreda - Ballinamallard United	1:2
19.08.23	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	3:0
15.04.23	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	4:1
01.04.23	Knockbreda - Ballinamallard United	3:2
26.11.22	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	2:1
01.10.22	Knockbreda - Ballinamallard United	1:2
12.03.22	Knockbreda - Ballinamallard United	2:4

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