Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 19

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Newington		Knockbreda

	1	X	2
	1.15	7	11.5
	1.14	7	13
	1.15	7.19	10
	1.15	7.19	10
	1.14	7	11
	1.13	7.4	13
	1.16	7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (6.5)	7.11 ↑ (5.25)	11.36 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newington
79.2%

Draw
12.8%

Knockbreda
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

17.3%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

16.6%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+65.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newington's performance.

Knockbreda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-60.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Knockbreda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-65.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knockbreda than the current prediction. (+63.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Knockbreda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Newington - Knockbreda Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Newington will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Knockbreda will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', Wee Joe ⚽,
32', Murphy M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', Cummings N. ⚽,
84', Murphy M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

Knockbreda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Newington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newington is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Knockbreda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Knockbreda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
16.03.24	Annagh United - Newington	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Newington - Dergview	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
02.03.24	Larne - Newington	4:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
27.02.24	Newington - Ards	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Institute FC - Newington	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- Knockbreda FC
Northern Irish Championship
15.03.24	Bangor - Knockbreda	5:0 ✺
09.03.24	Knockbreda - Institute FC	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Knockbreda - Dergview	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Ards - Knockbreda	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
20.01.24	Knockbreda - Newington	1:3
26.08.23	Newington - Knockbreda	2:0
12.04.23	Newington - Knockbreda	1:1
04.03.23	Knockbreda - Newington	0:3
03.01.23	Newington - Knockbreda	0:2
27.08.22	Knockbreda - Newington	1:0

Upcoming Matches