Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Smet W. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	16:00	Sporza


	Genk		Oud-Heverlee Leuven

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.05	4.6	Watch
	1.69	4.17	5.03
	1.65	4.16	4.84
	1.65	3.8	4.6
	1.66	4.2	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)	4.02 ↑ (3.94)	4.78 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
56.8%

Draw
23.4%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Oud-Heverlee Leuven aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Genk - Oud Heverlee Leuven Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Leuven will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (G) 44. Kongolo J. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 10. Ito J. 8. Heynen B. (C) 21. Bangoura I. 77. El Ouahdi Z. 20. Karetsas K. 38. Heymans D. 29. Mirisola R.	16. Prevot M. (G) 28. Pletinckx E. 34. Nyakossi R. 5. Ominami T. 27. Gil O. 8. Schrijvers S. (C) 6. George W. 30. Akimoto T. 14. Teklab H. 39. Kaba S. 10. Maziz Y.
Substitutes
32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 23. Bibout A. 97. Doucoure E. (G) 18. Kayembe J. 19. Medina Y. 27. Nkuba K. 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y. 7. Steuckers J. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 30. Yokoyama A.	21. Balikwisha W. 3. Dussenne N. 19. Ikwuemesi C. 61. Jochmans O. (G) 24. Lakomy L. 1. Leysen T. (G) 33. Maertens M. 17. Vaesen K. 7. Verlinden T. 4. Verstraete B.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Mazzu F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Mirisola R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mirisola R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
46', Ito J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
65', Karetsas K. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
65', Kongolo J. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
67', Steuckers J. 🟨,
69', Teklab H. ↓, Verlinden T. ↑,
69', George W. ↓, Lakomy L. ↑,
76', Heymans D. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
81', Lakomy L. 🟨,
82', Maziz Y. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
82', Kaba S. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
90', Gil O. 🟨,
90+1', Prevot M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3.

Genk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leuven has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Genk is the team to beat.

There will not play in Genk: Lawal T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leuven: Radelet T. (Knock)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Genk won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Genk	8	3	3	2	16:12	4	12
15	Leuven	8	1	2	5	6:14	-8	5

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Genk: 4.5% Leuven: 0.64%

Last Results with these Odds

Oud-Heverlee Leuven - the odds 4.64 are the expected chance of winning is 20.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.04.26	Royal Antwerp - Genk	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	RAAL La Louvière - Genk	5:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Freiburg - Genk	5:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.03.26	Genk - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Genk - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLWW
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Anderlecht - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.11.25	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1
15.08.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk	1:2
11.01.25	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:0
03.08.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk	3:1
31.01.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk	2:1
12.11.23	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1
02.04.23	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1

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