Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 34

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Den Dreef (Heverlee)

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.66	3.55	2.72
	2.63	3.5	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.76	3.63	2.54	Watch
	2.26	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.33)	3.48 ↓ (3.61)	2.61 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
37%

Draw
27%

Westerlo
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oud-Heverlee Leuven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Oud Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leysen T. (G) 28. Pletinckx E. 3. Dussenne N. 34. Nyakossi R. 77. Vlietinck T. 8. Schrijvers S. 24. Lakomy L. 14. Teklab H. 33. Maertens M. (C) 17. Vaesen K. 10. Maziz Y.	99. Jungdal A. (G) 22. Reynolds B. 40. Bayram E. 33. Neustadter R. (C) 5. Kimura S. 8. Sydorchuk S. 46. Piedfort A. 7. Sayyadmanesh A. 39. Van den Keybus T. 77. Alcocer J. 90. Nacho
Substitutes
21. Balikwisha W. 6. George W. 19. Ikwuemesi C. 39. Kaba S. 48. Kayo B. 5. Ominami T. 99. Opoku D. 16. Prevot M. (G) 7. Verlinden T.	11. Bohamdi-Kamoni N. 29. Goure F. 4. Lapage A. 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 6. Nsiala C. 10. Patrao A. 38. Saito S. 17. Smekens R. 30. Van Langendonck K. (G)
Coaches
Mazzu F.	Charai I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Maertens M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
46', Dussenne N. ↓, Ominami T. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Nacho ⚽, Alcocer J. (A),
67', 0 - 2, Nacho ⚽,
69', Nacho ↓, Goure F. ↑,
70', Vaesen K. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
70', Vlietinck T. ↓, Verlinden T. ↑,
75', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Patrao A. ↑,
75', Alcocer J. ↓, Mbamba-Muanda L. ↑,
76', Maertens M. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
76', Lakomy L. ↓, Balikwisha W. ↑,
84', Kimura S. ↓, Lapage A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Leuven: Gil O. (Red Card) Verstraete B. (Red Card)

There will not play in Westerlo: Bujupi E. (Knee Injury) Destan E. (Knee Injury) Laalaoui R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15:16	-1	10
14	Leuven	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Westerlo - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 32.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.04.26	Royal Antwerp - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTLWW
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.04.26	Westerlo - Genk	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Westerlo - Charleroi	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Westerlo - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.03.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	0:1
05.10.25	Westerlo - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:0
16.05.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	0:2
05.04.25	Westerlo - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:2
02.03.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	0:0
24.08.24	Westerlo - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1
25.05.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	1:2

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