Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 23

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Iskenderunspor

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.92	2.68
	2.38	3.33	2.74
	2.34	3.22	2.87	Watch
	2.3	3	2.7
	2.39	3.35	2.74
	2.36	3.14	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.83)	3.16 ↓ (3.34)	2.74 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
38.4%

Draw
28.6%

Iskenderunspor
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

26.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karacabey Belediyespor's performance.

Iskenderunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iskenderunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karacabey Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskenderunspor than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iskenderunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karacabey Belediyespor - Iskenderunspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Yilmaz E. ⚽, Kose I. C. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Gunes M. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Erdogan D. ⚽, Uzun K. (A),
40', 2 - 2, Yilmaz E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 2 - 3, Erdogan D. (Penalty Awarded),
69', 3 - 3, Yilmaz E. ⚽,
80', 4 - 3, Kose I. C. ⚽, Metin F. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Karacabey Bld has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Iskenderunspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karacabey Bld won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Karacabey Bld won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
24.01.26	Erbaaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - İnegölspor	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Kepez Belediyesi - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Beykoz Anadolu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW
- Iskenderunspor
Turkish Second League White Group
24.01.26	Iskenderunspor - Batman Petrolspor	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Altınordu - Iskenderunspor	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Iskenderunspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Iskenderunspor - Ankaragücü	4:2 ✺
22.12.25	Elazığspor - Iskenderunspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
13.09.25	Iskenderunspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
29.03.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Iskenderunspor	1:1
15.10.22	Iskenderunspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1

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