The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kocaelispor 56.5%
Draw 25.2%
İstanbulspor 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
25.8%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
24.9%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kocaelispor's performance.
İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kocaelispor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Kocaelispor - İstanbulspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Kocaelispor will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (G) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 3. Cinan M. 4. Vukovic J. 72. Rivas R. 6. Pedrinho 23. Yalcin S. 17. Caglayan O. 10. Marcao
28. Tutar A. (G) 2. Bahadir Y. 23. Erdogan O. 4. Tultak F. 13. Coly R. 11. Aydin D. 14. Sonmez K. 7. Sambissa D. 34. Loshaj F. 19. Diarra G. 77. Krstovski M.
Substitutes
70. Alici B. 8. Celik C. 30. Dalkilic B. 18. Gedik F. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 34. Sen B. (G) 15. Serbest T. 45. Tunali M. 32. Yilmaz M.
3. Aksu D. 83. Dayakli I. 21. Duhaney D. 15. Fidan Y. 9. Gultekin E. 70. Ozcan S. 44. Ozer Y. 20. Sahan O. 16. Sen K. 35. Yitmez H. (G)
Coaches
Tasdemir I.
Korkmaz O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Aydin D. 🟨,
38', Coly R. 🟨,
42', Tutar A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Caglayan O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Marcao ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
74', Aydin D. ↓, Sen K. ↑,
74', Tultak F. ↓, Aksu D. ↑,
74', Sambissa D. ↓, Gultekin E. ↑,
77', Vukovic J. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
79', Rivas R. 🟨,
84', Diarra G. ↓, Sahan O. ↑,
84', Bahadir Y. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
86', Pedrinho ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
86', Rivas R. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Ozcan S. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Gultekin E. 🟨,
90+7', Degirmenci G. 🟨,
90+10', Loshaj F. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Kocaelispor in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches İstanbulspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
İstanbulspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.
There will not play in Kocaelispor: Gedik E.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in İstanbulspor: Samdanli T.
(Knee Injury)
Vardar B.
(Illness)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
Asia
Turkey
Watch
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Degirmenci G. (G) 
Appindangoye A. 
Vukovic J. 
Rivas R. 
Pedrinho 
Marcao 
Bahadir Y. 
Erdogan O. 
Coly R. 
Loshaj F. 
Diarra G. 
Krstovski M. 
Celik C. 
Dayakli I. 
Duhaney D. 
Sahan O. 
