Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 26

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu (Şanliurfa)

Referee: Saka S. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Şanlıurfaspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.75	Watch
	5.01	3.63	1.78
	4.79	3.54	1.74	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.78	3.64	1.67
	4.75	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (3.86)	3.54 ↑ (3.33)	1.74 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Şanlıurfaspor
19.8%

Draw
26.4%

Kocaelispor
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.8%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26.9%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Şanlıurfaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kocaelispor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Şanlıurfaspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Şanlıurfaspor will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tokotaev E. (G) 22. Muscat Z. 5. Eren F. 19. Yardimci N. 2. Camoglu B. 32. Ogundu U. 26. Acar H. (C) 82. Begic A. 12. Bentley 9. Kappel L. 10. Wriedt K.	35. Degirmenci G. (C) 32. Yilmaz M. 5. Appindangoye A. 15. Serbest T. 19. Gedik E. 6. Pedrinho 17. Caglayan O. 4. Vukovic J. 23. Yalcin S. 20. Mendes R. 10. Marcao
Substitutes
30. Celebi A. 23. Ercelik H. 21. Gazanfer S. 96. Giritlioglu C. 13. Kalyoncu E. (G) 17. Karadogan J. 7. Kinali S. 25. Sambou B. 20. Sunger A. (G) 11. Yuksel M.	70. Alici B. 8. Celik C. 3. Cinan M. 18. Gedik F. 91. Gocen A. (G) 41. Oztonga O. 72. Rivas R. 9. Sagat A. 45. Tunali M.
Coaches
Kilic K.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Gedik E. 🟨,
45', Appindangoye A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yilmaz M. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
46', Caglayan O. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
68', Kappel L. ↓, Kinali S. ↑,
76', Wriedt K. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
76', Begic A. ↓, Ercelik H. ↑,
79', Vukovic J. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
80', Mendes R. ↓, Cinan M. ↑,
81', Acar H. 🟨,
90+1', Gedik E. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
90+4', Ogundu U. ↓, Gazanfer S. ↑,
90+4', Bentley ↓, Giritlioglu C. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Şanlıurfaspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kocaelispor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Oguz A. (Yellow Cards)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Şanlıurfaspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Şanlıurfaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Şanlıurfaspor
Turkish First League
17.02.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Sakaryaspor	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Bandırmaspor - Şanlıurfaspor	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Şanlıurfaspor - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Umraniyespor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLWL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
15.02.25	Kocaelispor - Çorum	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Manisa FK - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Kocaelispor - Amed SK	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.02.25	Kocaelispor - Sivasspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish First League
01.02.25	Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
30.09.24	Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:0
17.02.24	Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:1
24.09.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Kocaelispor	0:2
Turkish Second League White Group
15.04.21	Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1
17.01.21	Şanlıurfaspor - Kocaelispor	1:1

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