The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kolos Kovalivka 26.4%
Draw 28.9%
Karpaty Lviv 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
28.7%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
28.4%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kolos Kovalivka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kolos Kovalivka's form might have worsened.
Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karpaty Lviv's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kolos Kovalivka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Kolos Kovalivka - Karpaty Lviv Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Morgun V. (G) 42. Savchuk O. 3. Kozik E. 6. Burda M. 9. Tsurikov A. 7. Demchenko O. 55. Elias Telles 99. Rrapaj A. 30. Ndukve D. 70. Klymchuk Y. 17. Salabay A.
80. Mysak R. (G) 73. Lyakh R. 47. Jean Pedroso 4. Baboglo V. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 7. Fellipe Vieira 10. Moha Moukhliss 8. Chachua A. 77. Joaquinete 9. Sery J. 70. Alkain X.
Substitutes
47. Denysenko D. 33. Goncharenko R. 14. Kane I. 90. Kasalla I. 1. Matsapura D. (G) 31. Pakholyuk I. (G) 2. Rukhadze Z. 44. Shershen V. 10. Stankovski L. 21. Sukhonos D. 11. Tahiri A.
5. Buleza A. 14. Calero I. 18. Eriki 21. Iglesias Lois B. 19. Karabin Y. 26. Kostenko Y. 1. Marchenko D. (G) 31. Rusyn N. 20. Sapuga M. 55. Stetskov T. 17. Vantukh R. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', Chachua A. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Salabay A. ⚽,
24', Demchenko O. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Baboglo V. ⚽,
34', Rrapaj A. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Ndukve D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Joaquinete ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
47', 2 - 2, Chachua A. ⚽,
65', Fellipe Vieira ↓, Vantukh R. ↑,
65', Sery J. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
68', 2 - 3, Vantukh R. ⚽,
70', Alkain X. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
79', Demchenko O. ↓, Stankovski L. ↑,
79', Rrapaj A. ↓, Tahiri A. ↑,
80', Goncharenko R. 🟨,
82', Moha Moukhliss 🟨,
84', Miroshnichenko D. ↓, Sapuga M. ↑,
86', Tahiri A. 🟨,
87', Baboglo V. 🟨,
90+2', Salabay A. 🟨,
90+2', Iglesias Lois B. 🟨,
90+3', Elias Telles 🟨,
90+3', Sapuga M. 🟨,
90+4', Rusyn N. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolos won 2.
In recent matches, Kolos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Karpaty is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Karpaty will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kolos won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kolos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Kolos Kovalivka - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Karpaty Lviv - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.87%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Morgun V. (G) 
Elias Telles 
Rrapaj A. 
Baboglo V. 
Moha Moukhliss 
Sery J. 
Kane I. 
Rukhadze Z. 
Stankovski L. 
Tahiri A. 
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