Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Kolos Kovalivka		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.87	3.4
	2.28	3	3.4
	2.44	2.74	3.65
	2.27	3.01	3.34	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.3
	2.43	2.98	3.49	Watch
	2.28	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.27)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolos Kovalivka
40.4%

Draw
32.1%

Vorskla Poltava
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolos Kovalivka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vorskla Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Kolos Kovalivka - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kolos will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vorskla will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vorskla (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pakholiuk I. (G) 32. Kozik E. 6. Burda M. 16. Krasniqi I. 9. Tsurikov A. (C) 7. Demchenko O. 33. Tretyakov M. 20. Gagnidze N. 99. Rrapaj A. 8. Veleten V. 11. Bolivar J.	7. Isenko P. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 44. Khrypchuk D. 29. Batsula A. 38. Chelyadin A. 11. Kane I. 6. Sklyar O. 4. Perduta I. (C) 33. Myakushko S. 77. Iyede S. 80. Ndukve D.
Substitutes
19. Alefirenko D. 55. Elias 1. Gorokh V. (G) 15. Gusol A. 22. Kovtalyuk M. 48. Kryvoruchko O. 23. Mysak R. (G) 10. Orikhovskyi P. 4. Shershen V. 27. Sukhar T. 17. Sydorov O. 2. Vladoiu S.	8. Avdyli M. 23. Malysh N. 43. Ostrovskyi V. 42. Pasich Y. 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)
Coaches
Kostyshyn R.	Maksymov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Bolivar J. ↓, Kovtalyuk M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Tretyakov M. ↓, Alefirenko D. ↑,
61', Rrapaj A. ↓, Orikhovskyi P. ↑,
69', Iyede S. ↓, Malysh N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolos won 2.

Kolos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vorskla has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Vorskla has had a series of home games.

Kolos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vorskla: Izotov D. (Knee Injury) Pavlyuk Y. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kolos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kolos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
27.04.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:4 ✺
13.04.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 52 TWWLW
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
27.04.25	Vorskla Poltava - Veres Rivne	3:0 ✺
18.04.25	Vorskla Poltava - Oleksandriya	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Vorskla Poltava - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Vorskla Poltava - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Vorskla Poltava - Kryvbas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
03.11.24	Vorskla Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1
20.04.24	Vorskla Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka	0:2
07.10.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Vorskla Poltava	0:0
29.05.23	Vorskla Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0
19.11.22	Kolos Kovalivka - Vorskla Poltava	1:2
24.09.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Vorskla Poltava	0:1
24.04.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Vorskla Poltava	3:0

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