Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Oleksiy Butovsky Vorskla Stadium (Poltava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Vorskla Poltava		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.2
	3.45	3	2.25
	3.88	2.99	2.11	Watch
	3.48	3.17	2.14	Watch
	3.45	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.43)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	2.19 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vorskla Poltava
26.5%

Draw
30.8%

Polissya Zhytomyr
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

29.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

29.1%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vorskla Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Vorskla Poltava - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Isenko P. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 44. Khrypchuk D. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 4. Perduta I. (C) 11. Kane I. 23. Malysh N. 8. Avdyli M. 17. Salabay A. 77. Iyede S. 80. Ndukve D.	1. Kudryk O. (G) 31. Maisuradze G. 44. Chobotenko S. 4. Matic M. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 18. Andriyevski O. 8. Babenko R. (C) 11. Gutsulyak O. 55. Krushynskyi B. 7. Nazarenko O. 9. Batista F.
Substitutes
29. Batsula A. 38. Chelyadin A. 3. Faerron F. 25. Gucek L. 33. Myakushko S. 43. Ostrovskyi V. 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)	14. Biton O. 27. Bristric A. 40. Goncalves A. 2. Hadroj A. 34. Joao Vialle 30. Lednev B. 13. Lucas Taylor 5. Sarapiy E. 37. Talles Costa 23. Volynets Y. (G) 10. Yosefi T.
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Ashur I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Krushynskyi B. ⚽, Babenko R. (A),
39', Avdyli M. 🟨,
42', Matic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Mykhaylichenko B. 🟨,
54', Nazarenko O. 🟨,
62', Krushynskyi B. ↓, Sarapiy E. ↑,
63', Ndukve D. ↓, Ostrovskyi V. ↑,
63', Kane I. ↓, Myakushko S. ↑,
63', Malysh N. ↓, Chelyadin A. ↑,
71', Sarapiy E. 🟨,
75', Andriyevski O. ↓, Yosefi T. ↑,
75', Nazarenko O. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
78', Goncalves A. 🟨,
78', Krupskyi I. 🟨,
87', Salabay A. 🟥,
90+2', 0 - 2, Yosefi T. ⚽, Goncalves A. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 4).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Polissya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vorskla have a series of home games.

Polissya will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vorskla: Izotov D. (Knee Injury) Sklyar O. (Red Card)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vorskla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Vorskla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
05.04.25	Vorskla Poltava - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Vorskla Poltava - Kryvbas	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Rukh Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	0:1 ✺
06.03.25	Vorskla Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Vorskla Poltava - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWTT
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
07.04.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
02.04.25	Veres Rivne - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ET ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
28.03.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.03.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
11.03.25	Veres Rivne - Polissya Zhytomyr	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
06.10.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Vorskla Poltava	2:1
29.04.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Vorskla Poltava	1:0
Ukrainian Cup
04.04.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Vorskla Poltava	0:1
Ukrainian Premier League
22.10.23	Vorskla Poltava - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:3

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