The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shakhtar Donetsk 72.2%
Draw 17.7%
Kolos Kovalivka 10.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
72.3%
17.9%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.6%
17.1%
9.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 5. Bondar V. 28. Matturro A. 17. Tobias V. 29. Nazaryna Y. 99. Bruninho 8. Kryskiv D. 14. Isaque Silva 68. Obah P. 49. Luca Meirelles
31. Pakholyuk I. (G) 2. Rukhadze Z. 6. Burda M. 33. Goncharenko R. 9. Tsurikov A. 45. Khrypchuk D. 14. Kane I. 7. Demchenko O. 99. Rrapaj A. 17. Salabay A. 30. Ndukve D.
Substitutes
30. Alisson 25. Gabriel Carvalho 9. Kaua Elias 6. Marlon Gomes 22. Matvienko M. 77. Mendoza G. 27. Ocheretko O. 10. Pedrinho 13. Pedro Henrique 2. Traore L. 24. Tsukanov V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
47. Denysenko D. 90. Kasalla I. 22. Katrych V. 1. Matsapura D. (G) 51. Morgun V. (G) 42. Savchuk O. 44. Shershen V. 10. Stankovski L. 21. Sukhonos D. 11. Tahiri A.
Coaches
Turan A.
Kostyshyn R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Tobias V. ⚽, Matturro A. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Bondar V. ⚽, Nazaryna Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rrapaj A. ↓, Stankovski L. ↑,
51', Tobias V. 🟨,
58', Turan A. 🟨,
58', Matturro A. ↓, Matvienko M. ↑,
58', Obah P. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
58', Luca Meirelles ↓, Traore L. ↑,
60', Burda M. 🟨,
61', Tsurikov A. 🟨,
70', Ndukve D. ↓, Tahiri A. ↑,
70', Kane I. ↓, Kasalla I. ↑,
71', Salabay A. 🟨,
71', Isaque Silva ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
80', Demchenko O. ↓, Denysenko D. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Tahiri A. ⚽, Stankovski L. (A),
87', Kryskiv D. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
88', Salabay A. ↓, Sukhonos D. ↑,
90', Tsurikov A. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 2.
Shakhtar is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Kolos has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kolos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Kolos has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Shakhtar holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar has recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:13 (averaging 2.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shakhtar against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 19:8 goals (averaging 2.7:1.1 per game).