The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shakhtar Donetsk 73.8%
Draw 17.2%
Kolos Kovalivka 9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.6%
19.7%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73%
21.9%
13.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shakhtar Donetsk's performance.
Kolos Kovalivka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kolos Kovalivka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Fesyun K. (G) 18. Ghram A. 5. Bondar V. (C) 29. Nazaryna Y. 16. Azarovi I. 27. Ocheretko O. 68. Obah P. 6. Marlon Gomes 14. Isaque Silva 11. Newerton 49. Luca Meirelles
31. Pakholyuk I. (G) 81. Popravka Y. 45. Khrypchuk D. 5. Bondarenko V. (C) 2. Rukhadze Z. 27. Stepanenko T. 15. Gusol A. 20. Gagnidze N. 99. Rrapaj A. 17. Salabay A. 11. Tahiri A.
Substitutes
3. Arroyo D. 21. Bondarenko A. 7. Eguinaldo 13. Henrique P. 8. Kryskiv D. 37. Lucas Ferreira 10. Pedrinho 9. Shved M. 17. Tobias V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
19. Alefirenko D. 8. Chelyadin A. 47. Denisenko D. 55. Elias 14. Kane I. 70. Klymchuk Y. 71. Korobchenko A. 1. Matsapura D. (G) 77. Ponedelnik A. 9. Tsurikov A.
Coaches
Turan A.
Kostyshyn R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Kostyshyn R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gusol A. ↓, Kane I. ↑,
46', Marlon Gomes ↓, Kryskiv D. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Tahiri A. ⚽, Khrypchuk D. (A),
59', Newerton ↓, Shved M. ↑,
59', Bondar V. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
60', Stepanenko T. ↓, Elias ↑,
70', Nazaryna Y. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
74', Khrypchuk D. ↓, Ponedelnik A. ↑,
74', Rrapaj A. ↓, Denisenko D. ↑,
75', Ocheretko O. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
79', Tahiri A. ↓, Chelyadin A. ↑,
Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - Ukraina Stadium.
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
Shakhtar is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 3.
Shakhtar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Kolos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Kolos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of away games.
In this match, Shakhtar is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Shakhtar will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:12. (average 2.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Shakhtar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 3.2:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Shakhtar Donetsk
7
6
0
1
15:4
11
18
13
Kolos Kovalivka
6
1
2
3
6:10
-4
5
Last Results with these Odds
Shakhtar Donetsk - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.56%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Ukraine
World
Watch
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Fesyun K. (G) 
Ghram A. 
Azarovi I. 
Obah P. 
Marlon Gomes 
Rrapaj A. 
Tahiri A. 
Arroyo D. 
Kane I. 
Turan A. 
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