Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 11

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Neftekhimik Stadium (Nizhnekamsk)

Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.05	3.61
	2.21	3.13	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.04)	3.09 ↓ (3.26)	3.52 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
42.3%

Draw
30.7%

Alania Vladikavkaz
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

28.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neftekhimik won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Neftekhimik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Neftekhimik won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Neftekhimik won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
15.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Torpedo Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTL
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
14.09.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - KAMAZ	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Sochi	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ural - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1
Russian FNL
03.03.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:0
24.07.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0
05.03.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0
14.08.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0
06.05.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	5:2
17.10.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:3

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