The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 19.5%
Draw 26.3%
Ural 54.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
28.4%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
28.3%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ural's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ural, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Ismagilov A. (G) 28. Platonov P. 13. Puzanov S. 6. Pechenkin N. 24. Kakhidze A. 19. Sharifullin L. 7. Dzhamilov S. 38. Aleynikov V. 85. Pyatkin I. 9. Kotik A. 14. Mashukov I. (C)
57. Selikhov A. (G) 2. Begic S. 15. Tikhiy D. 16. Italo 24. Korotkov A. 22. Leo Cordeiro 6. Sungatulin F. (C) 13. Kaynov M. 59. Kharin E. 10. Sekulic M. 99. Fourrier B.
Substitutes
11. Abdullaev S. 15. Bondar A. 27. Budylin A. 1. Golubev A. (G) 31. Kasimov T. 5. Musalov M. 17. Nikishin K. 2. Sitdikov M. 8. Sukhomlinov D. 96. Vasiljev N.
11. Bokov D. 37. Bondarev V. 97. Ishkov I. 17. Karapuzov V. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 44. Malkevich V. 18. Morozov N. 35. Prishchepa D.
Coaches
Evdokimov R.
Yuran S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kharin E. ↓, Malkevich V. ↑,
65', Leo Cordeiro ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
65', Fourrier B. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑,
65', Malkevich V. ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
67', Korotkov A. 🟨,
73', Kaynov M. ↓, Bokov D. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Ishkov I. ⚽,
76', Mashukov I. 🟨,
81', Dzhamilov S. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
81', Aleynikov V. ↓, Sukhomlinov D. ↑,
81', Kotik A. ↓, Nikishin K. ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Pyatkin I. 🟨,
90+1', Sekulic M. 🟨,
90+1', Sekulic M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Neftekhimik has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Ural for this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Neftekhimik has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:13 (averaging 1.3:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Neftekhimik against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Ural: 7.82% Neftekhimik: 0.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Ural
12
7
4
1
20:6
14
25
14
Neftekhimik
12
4
0
8
7:15
-8
12
Last Results with these Odds
Ural - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.73%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
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Ismagilov A. (G) 
Begic S. 
Italo 
Fourrier B. 
Malkevich V. 
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