Match Info

Date: 20 June 2022, Monday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	CMore, Discovery+


	Kongsvinger		Grorud

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.2	3.3
	1.93	3.7	3.3
	1.95	3.9	3.3
	1.95	3.9	3.1
	2.01	4.05	3.44
	1.91	3.6	3.2
	1.99	3.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.92)	3.9 ↑ (3.55)	3.28 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
47.8%

Draw
23.9%

Grorud
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kongsvinger have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Grorud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.7%	10%	11.2%

Kongsvinger - Grorud Predictions

Users Predictions: Kongsvinger will win (63 of 80 users predict this - 78.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.79% – 87.71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

Kongsvinger is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grorud is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grorud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kongsvinger have a series of guest games.

In this match Kongsvinger is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kongsvinger won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian NM Cup
14.06.22	Eidsvold Turn - Kongsvinger	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.05.22	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	1:0 ✺
26.05.22	Kongsvinger - Brann	1:3 ✺
23.05.22	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Kongsvinger	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.05.22	Lørenskog - Kongsvinger	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Grorud IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.05.22	Grorud - Stjørdals-Blink	1:2 ✺
26.05.22	Åsane - Grorud	3:2 ✺
23.05.22	Grorud - Bryne	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.05.22	Follo - Grorud	0:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.22	Stabæk - Grorud	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.12.20	Grorud - Kongsvinger	4:0
20.07.20	Kongsvinger - Grorud	0:1

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