Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 9

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play


	Stabæk		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.38	3.9	2.52	Watch
	2.33	4.35	2.65
	2.27	4.3	2.56	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.5
	2.26	3.92	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.35)	3.95 ↓ (3.96)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
40.4%

Draw
23.4%

Kongsvinger
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

23.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

23.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Stabæk - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kongsvinger will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Stabæk (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stabæk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 15. Veum O. 4. Naess N. (C) 29. Ekorness K. 28. Tobiassen B. 7. Solnordal O. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 9. Sanyang A. 10. Olderheim S.	93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 22. Langrekken L. 11. Job D.
Substitutes
25. Afrim B. 20. Boesen O. 8. Dahlby M. 16. Hoven A. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 19. Lundemo M. 6. Matic A. 21. Onsrud K. 5. Skjelvik J.	1. Da Rocha W. (G) 29. Fjellman P. 18. Flores M. 6. Hansen A. 15. Lysell V. 5. Lysgard D. 24. Overby A. 16. Udnaes P.
Coaches
Kjell A.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Sanyang A. ⚽, Solnordal O. (A),
45', Dybevik A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanyang A. ↓, Dahlby M. ↑,
46', Hanstad J. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Dahlby M. ⚽, Tobiassen B. (A),
61', Christiansen R. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
67', Dahlby M. 🟨,
72', Wendt W. ↓, Matic A. ↑,
76', Ekorness K. 🟨,
78', Norheim S. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
78', Langrekken L. ↓, Lysell V. ↑,
78', Riise F. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
88', Fors V. ↓, Hansen A. ↑,
88', Christensen F. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
89', Olderheim S. ↓, Skjelvik J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.8:0.9).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Kongsvinger: 29.45% Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kongsvinger	24	16	5	3	70:35	35	53
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45

Last Results with these Odds

Kongsvinger - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.64%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.05.26	Sogndal - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Stabæk - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Lyn - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
26.04.26	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWW
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.05.26	Kongsvinger - Odd	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Lyn - Kongsvinger	0:3 ✺
08.05.26	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Kongsvinger - Egersund	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Strømmen - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.03.26	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	2:1
31.05.25	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:2
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.24	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	1:3
04.05.24	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	5:0
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	1:1

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