Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 18

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kongsvinger		Haugesund

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.33	3.3
	1.77	4.10	3.40
	1.88	4.25	3.25
	1.93	4.56	3.33
	1.81	4.51	3.47	Watch
	1.85	4.5	3.35
	1.85	4.37	3.33	Watch
	1.84	4.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.13)	4.35 ↑ (4.01)	3.32 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
50.5%

Draw
21.4%

Haugesund
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

23.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

24%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongsvinger's performance.

Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haugesund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongsvinger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Kongsvinger - Haugesund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 22. Langrekken L. 21. Chaminta A.	1. Bratveit P. (G) 18. Solheim V. 4. Koskela M. 3. Molde S. 42. Bondhus A. 8. Hannola P. 16. Leite B. (C) 41. Remmem L. 30. Camara I. 11. Sandberg N. 26. Andersen E.
Substitutes
25. Elmi S. 18. Flores M. 11. Job D. 15. Lysell V. 5. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 71. Sayouba M. (G) 16. Udnaes P.	15. Bjornbak M. 10. Derviskadic E. 21. Fauskanger E. (G) 40. Grindhaug A. 25. Hope M. 44. Lie P. E. 20. Seone I.
Coaches
Vennberg J.	Eide E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Norheim S. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Christensen F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Bratveit P. ↓, Fauskanger E. ↑,
50', Koskela M. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Sande M. ⚽, Christensen F. (A),
54', Andersen E. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Andersen E. ⚽, Leite B. (A),
66', Christiansen R. ↓, Job D. ↑,
66', Gjerstrom M. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Andersen E. ⚽, Bondhus A. (A),
73', Christensen F. 🟨,
78', Chaminta A. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
78', Andersen E. ↓, Grindhaug A. ↑,
78', Solheim V. ↓, Lie P. E. ↑,
82', Leite B. ↓, Seone I. ↑,
83', Camara I. ↓, Bjornbak M. ↑,
88', Fors V. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 2, Mbow M. ⚽, Dybevik A. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Kongsvinger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Haugesund is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kongsvinger could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Haugesund: 58.9% Kongsvinger: 29.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Haugesund	24	18	1	5	74:39	35	55
2	Kongsvinger	24	16	5	3	70:35	35	53

Last Results with these Odds

Kongsvinger - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.58%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.08.26	Åsane - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Kongsvinger - Strømmen	1:3 ✺
26.07.26	Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger	1:6 ✺
03.07.26	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	5:1 ✺
27.06.26	Haugesund - Kongsvinger	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.08.26	Haugesund - Raufoss	7:2 ✺
03.08.26	Ranheim - Haugesund	3:4 ✺
25.07.26	Haugesund - Bryne	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Odd - Haugesund	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Haugesund - Kongsvinger	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.06.26	Haugesund - Kongsvinger	4:2
Club Friendly
21.02.26	Haugesund - Kongsvinger	1:2

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