The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kongsvinger 69.2%
Draw 16.4%
Sandnes Ulf 14.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64%
18.5%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.6%
17.3%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongsvinger's performance.
Sandnes Ulf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Kongsvinger - Sandnes Ulf Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 22. Langrekken L. 21. Chaminta A.
1. Falch A. (G) 4. Kryger A. (C) 3. Botnen F. 5. Oregaard G. 23. Berland E. 16. de Lanlay Y. 15. Nsoni Z. 10. Kostadinov K. 19. Pereira K. 11. Sundberg M. 9. Sundgot O.
Substitutes
1. Da Rocha W. (G) 25. Elmi S. 18. Flores M. 9. Johnson G. 15. Lysell V. 5. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 26. Olawore E. 16. Udnaes P.
7. Bardarson O. 18. Bruseth A. 25. Debes E. 13. Flolid T. (G) 28. Henriksen M. 77. Memed A. 8. Saugestad S.
Coaches
Vennberg J.
Cleveland A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Botnen F. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Christensen F. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 2 - 0, Dybevik A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fors V. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
56', Pereira K. 🟨,
63', Pereira K. ↓, Henriksen M. ↑,
63', Sundberg M. ↓, Bardarson O. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Christiansen R. ⚽,
67', Christiansen R. ↓, Olawore E. ↑,
67', Chaminta A. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
79', Sundgot O. ↓, Saugestad S. ↑,
79', de Lanlay Y. ↓, Bruseth A. ↑,
79', Langrekken L. ↓, Johnson G. ↑,
84', Berland E. ↓, Debes E. ↑,
86', Christensen F. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
87', 4 - 0, Norheim S. ⚽, Dybevik A. (A),
90', Nsoni Z. 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - OBOS - ligaen (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 5.
Kongsvinger is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sandnes Ulf has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sandnes Ulf could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Kongsvinger as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger has recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:18 (averaging 2.2:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kongsvinger against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 19:9 goals (averaging 2.4:1.1 per game).
Norway
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Gorodovoy A. (G) 
Gjerstrom M. 
Mbow M. 
Fors V. 
Christensen F. 
Chaminta A. 
Oregaard G. 
Nsoni Z. 
Elmi S. 
Johnson G. 
Olawore E. 
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