Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 20

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Kongsvinger		Sandnes Ulf

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.25	8.5
	1.28	5.5	8.25
	1.28	6	9	Watch
	1.29	6.01	8.53
	1.3	5.61	8.42	Watch
	1.22	5.5	8.5
	1.28	6	8.55
	1.28	6	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	5.73 ↑ (5.24)	8.59 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
73%

Draw
16.2%

Sandnes Ulf
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

17.8%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

13%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongsvinger's performance.

Sandnes Ulf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongsvinger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandnes Ulf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Kongsvinger - Sandnes Ulf Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kongsvinger will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sandnes Ulf will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kongsvinger: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stromberg A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 5. Holme F. 3. Thorkelsson R. 2. Nilsson J. 27. Dybevik A. 20. Grundt J. 6. Holter H. 11. Williams N. 14. Haren L. 9. Guven A. (C)	30. Mbaye S. (G) 2. Kleppa H. 24. Gayi E. 3. Berger E. 17. Nyhagen A. 21. Brkic H. 18. Oby O. 31. Hjorteseth I. 19. Braut D. 10. Hoiland T. (C) 25. Osenbroch E.
Substitutes
26. Arlig W. 10. Gerson L. 22. Langrekken L. 21. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 48. Sandstad A. 31. Sayouba M. (G)	20. Aune J. 4. Bager M. 13. Flolid T. (G) 15. Jensen H. 11. Kvernstuen J. 26. Memedov A. 8. Moldskred M.
Coaches
Vennberg J.	Nilsen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Dybevik A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Haren L. ⚽, Williams N. (A),
34', Braut D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hoiland T. ↓, Moldskred M. ↑,
46', Osenbroch E. ↓, Memedov A. ↑,
71', Guven A. ↓, Langrekken L. ↑,
71', Braut D. ↓, Kvernstuen J. ↑,
71', Nyhagen A. ↓, Bager M. ↑,
83', Haren L. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
86', Kleppa H. ↓, Aune J. ↑,
90+2', Williams N. ↓, Gerson L. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 5.

Recent matches Kongsvinger is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sandnes Ulf is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kongsvinger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kongsvinger is absolute favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Kongsvinger won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.24	Bryne - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Kongsvinger - Lyn	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Kongsvinger - Levanger	3:3 ✺
20.07.24	Moss - Kongsvinger	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTTL
- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.24	Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk	1:3 ✺
14.08.24	Sandnes Ulf - Aalesunds	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Mjøndalen - Sandnes Ulf	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Sandnes Ulf - Åsane	0:3 ✺
31.07.24	Stabæk - Sandnes Ulf	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.05.24	Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger	0:2
29.10.23	Kongsvinger - Sandnes Ulf	4:0
03.05.23	Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger	1:2
03.11.22	Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger	0:1
17.10.22	Kongsvinger - Sandnes Ulf	3:1
19.04.22	Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger	4:1
08.11.20	Kongsvinger - Sandnes Ulf	1:1

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