Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 24

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bodding A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Moss		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	3.80	4.33	1.73	Watch
	3.60	4.10	1.73
	3.95	4.35	1.62
	3.67	4.58	1.82
	3.99	4.65	1.67	Watch
	3.65	4.55	1.76
	3.65	4.30	1.75
	3.50	4.10	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.7)	4.37 ↓ (4.5)	1.73 (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
24.9%

Draw
21.3%

Kongsvinger
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

20.8%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

20.2%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Moss - Kongsvinger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kongsvinger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kongsvinger will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. (C) 2. Cassidy M. 17. Andersen P. 4. Ibsen N. 5. Jebali O. 16. Kvale W. 19. Overgaard L. 14. Musbaudeen J. 8. Vold Krohg H. 20. Semmen N. 9. Aga O.	93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 18. Flores M. 22. Langrekken L. 21. Chaminta A.
Substitutes
7. Alexandersson N. 26. Chidi E. 23. Hermanstad R. 10. Njie M. 24. Njie M. 22. Ogbole J. 12. Rylandsholm M. (G) 27. Selnaes J. S. 25. Usman T.	28. Christiansen R. 1. Da Rocha W. (G) 25. Elmi S. 14. Hovland L. 9. Johnson G. 5. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 26. Olawore E. 16. Udnaes P.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Fors V. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Langrekken L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Chaminta A. ↓, Christiansen R. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Christiansen R. ⚽,
59', Christensen F. 🟨,
61', Langrekken L. 🟨,
67', Flores M. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
68', Gjerstrom M. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
81', Overgaard L. ↓, Njie M. ↑,
87', Langrekken L. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
87', Christiansen R. ↓, Hovland L. ↑,
88', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Alexandersson N. ↑,
88', Semmen N. ↓, Usman T. ↑,
90+2', Andersen P. ↓, Chidi E. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion - OBOS - ligaen (Promotion - Playoffs - Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 1.

In recent outings, Moss has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kongsvinger is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Moss may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Kongsvinger is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Moss has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:32 (averaging 1.2:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Moss against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.4:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Kongsvinger	28	18	5	5	82:45	37	59
14	Moss	28	8	5	15	41:59	-18	29

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Kongsvinger: 12.9%

Last Results with these Odds

Kongsvinger - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian NM Cup
23.09.26	Grorud - Moss	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.26	Sandnes Ulf - Moss	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Moss - Haugesund	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Stabæk - Moss	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Moss - Strømmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLWL
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.26	Kongsvinger - Hødd	5:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Eidsvold Turn - Kongsvinger	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.26	Egersund - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	9:1 ✺
30.08.26	Kongsvinger - Lyn	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.04.26	Kongsvinger - Moss	2:1
18.10.25	Moss - Kongsvinger	2:4
21.04.25	Kongsvinger - Moss	6:0
01.12.24	Moss - Kongsvinger	3:2
16.09.24	Kongsvinger - Moss	0:0
20.07.24	Moss - Kongsvinger	1:0
12.11.23	Kongsvinger - Moss	1:2

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