Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Koniz		Bavois

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.4
	2.25	4	2.4
	2.31	4.05	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.32)	4.02 ↓ (4.05)	2.42 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koniz
39.9%

Draw
22.6%

Bavois
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

22.7%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

17%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koniz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Bavois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koniz than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koniz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bavois could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Koniz - Bavois Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Recent matches Koniz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bavois is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bavois could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Koniz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Koniz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Koniz
Swiss Promotion League
17.10.20	Black Stars Basel - Koniz	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Yverdon - Koniz	7:1 ✺
26.09.20	Koniz - Rapperswil-Jona	1:6 ✺
23.09.20	Koniz - Münsingen	2:0 ✺
19.09.20	Basel II - Koniz	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWL
- Bavois
Swiss Promotion League
17.10.20	Bavois - Brühl	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Bavois - Münsingen	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	Zurich II - Bavois	0:1 ✺
19.09.20	Bavois - Stade Nyonnais	0:3 ✺
12.09.20	Étoile Carouge - Bavois	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
22.10.19	Bavois - Koniz	1:3
17.11.18	Koniz - Bavois	2:2
08.08.18	Bavois - Koniz	1:1
16.08.17	Koniz - Bavois	0:2
25.03.17	Koniz - Bavois	1:3
03.09.16	Bavois - Koniz	2:0

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