Match Info

Prva liga - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Bonifika (Koper)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Sport TV1


	Koper		Celje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.52
	2.41	3.89	2.64
	2.35	3.83	2.65	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.5
	2.36	3.8	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.69)	3.72 ↑ (3.62)	2.59 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koper
39.2%

Draw
24.9%

Celje
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.8%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

25.5%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koper than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Koper - Celje Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Koper will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Celje will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Koper: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Koper (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Koper (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Koper (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Celje (2.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Koper (votes: 3 - 50%). Celje (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Jurhar M. (G) 33. Damjanovic F. 26. Hartherz F. 72. Ilicic J. 80. Longonda J. 32. Mijailovic V. 15. Mittendorfer M. (C) 8. Ndiaye B. 19. Rimac L. 27. Ruedl A. 6. Tomek F.	12. Kolar L. (G) 11. Avdyli M. 4. Hrka D. 20. Iosifov N. 2. Juanjo Nieto 23. Karnicnik Z. (C) 47. Kucys A. 8. Kvesic M. 22. Pranjic J. 10. Seslar S. 6. Tutyskinas A.
Substitutes
24. Becaj M. 42. Dabo A. 3. Felipe Curcio 35. Ivanov M. 16. Kerma B. P. 1. Kukucka M. (G) 45. Matondo I. 69. Negouai B. 30. Oddei B. 21. Omladic N. 11. Petrisot I. 18. Zalaznik A.	27. Calusic I. 13. Daniel P. 29. Gobec S. 7. Jevsenak F. 17. Kotnik A. 1. Leban Z. (G) 99. Poplatnik M. 21. Sluga S. (G) 24. Vidovic D. 5. Vodeb G. 14. Vukasovic N. 3. Vuklisevic D.
Coaches
Zeljkovic Z.	Campelos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Kolar L. ↓, Leban Z. ↑,
11', Tutyskinas A. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Hrka D. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
44', Longonda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ruedl A. ↓, Matondo I. ↑,
56', Seslar S. ↓, Calusic I. ↑,
56', Kucys A. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
57', Karnicnik Z. ↓, Daniel P. ↑,
67', Tomek F. ↓, Oddei B. ↑,
67', Hartherz F. ↓, Felipe Curcio ↑,
70', Longonda J. ↓, Dabo A. ↑,
78', Rimac L. ↓, Omladic N. ↑,
79', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
82', Kvesic M. ↓, Vidovic D. ↑,
89', Leban Z. 🟨,
90+4', Ilicic J. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Koper won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Koper may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Koper won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Koper won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.2:1.5).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Celje: 19.76% Koper: 8.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Koper	10	5	3	2	11:8	3	18
7	Celje	9	3	3	3	11:11	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Koper
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Koper	2:4 ✺
01.03.26	Koper - Mura	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Koper	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Koper - Radomlje	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Maribor - Koper	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTTL
- NK Celje
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Celje - AEK Athens	0:4 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	NK Bravo - Celje	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Celje - Drita Gjilan	3:2 ✺
19.02.26	Drita Gjilan - Celje	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
30.11.25	Celje - Koper	1:1
14.09.25	Koper - Celje	3:3
Slovenian Cup
14.05.25	Koper - Celje	0:4
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.05.25	Celje - Koper	2:3
30.04.25	Koper - Celje	1:1
23.11.24	Celje - Koper	1:0
01.09.24	Koper - Celje	0:0

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