Match Info

SLOVENIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 31

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Location: Bonifika (Koper)

Referee: Borosak A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Koper		Gorica

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.7
	1.91	3.2	3.5
	2.05	3.33	3.86
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.96	3.44	3.85	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.57)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.68 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koper
46.4%

Draw
28.5%

Gorica
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

26.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Koper's form might have worsened.

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gorica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koper than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koper, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gorica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Koper - Gorica Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Koper will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Koper: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 and 9 in the zone Prva liga (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Koper won 1.

Recent matches Koper is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gorica is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gorica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Koper have a series of guest games.

Koper will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Koper won 14 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 41-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Koper won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Koper
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.04.23	Maribor - Koper	3:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
05.04.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Koper	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
01.04.23	Koper - NK Bravo	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Tabor Sežana - Koper	0:1 ✺
16.03.23	Mura - Koper	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW
- ND Gorica
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.04.23	Radomlje - Gorica	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Gorica - Maribor	0:3 ✺
19.03.23	NK Bravo - Gorica	2:1 ✺
16.03.23	Tabor Sežana - Gorica	0:1 ✺
10.03.23	Gorica - Mura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.02.23	Gorica - Koper	2:2
15.10.22	Koper - Gorica	1:1
08.08.22	Gorica - Koper	1:2
24.04.21	Koper - Gorica	0:0
13.02.21	Gorica - Koper	2:1
21.11.20	Koper - Gorica	1:1
13.09.20	Gorica - Koper	2:4

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