Match Info

Prva liga - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Bonifika (Koper)

Referee: Borosak A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Koper		Nafta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.80	4.00
	1.67	3.60	4.10	Watch
	1.74	3.93	4.53
	1.64	4.03	4.88	Watch
	1.70	3.85	4.45
	1.73	3.97	4.17	Watch
	1.76	3.75	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.53)	3.85 ↓ (4.19)	4.28 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Koper
54.3%

Draw
24.1%

Nafta
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

22.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Koper's form might have worsened.

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koper than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koper, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Koper - Nafta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bas L. (C) 18. Agyemang G. 5. Backulja F. 25. Bangaly D. 99. Manseri K. 69. Negouai B. 79. Pejicic D. 10. Rimac L. 47. Roncal A. 27. Ruedl A. 11. Simon N.	1. Erjavsek L. (G) 98. Dragoner A. 20. Ferreira A. 41. Lavrencic K. 17. Marosa A. 21. Omrani S. 18. Pihler A. (C) 2. Pirtovsek R. 33. Poredos L. 30. Vidnyanszky M. 7. Zorica J.
Substitutes
26. Adrovic B. 19. Beric R. 22. Diakite C. 29. Gucek L. 3. Hartherz F. 28. Jovanovic L. (G) 16. Kerma B. P. . Marinic A. 45. Matondo I. 8. Ndiaye B. 4. Stulac L. 86. Surdanovic S.	16. Bobson D. 29. Gorenc Stankovic T. 90. Jamiu U. 23. Kambic L. 9. Krstic M. 99. Micic A. 80. Nemeth E. (G) 8. Ogwuche M. 10. Pihler L.
Coaches
Andjelkovic M.	Escudero G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Manseri K. ⚽,
21', Lavrencic K. 🟨,
43', Negouai B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rimac L. ↓, Beric R. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Beric R. ⚽, Diakite C. (A),
72', Pihler A. ↓, Jamiu U. ↑,
83', Manseri K. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Koper won 4.

Koper has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Nafta have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nafta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Koper is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Koper has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:3 (averaging 2.4:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Koper against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:1 goals (averaging 1.8:0.3 per game).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Koper: 8.5% Nafta: 1.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Koper	10	5	3	2	11:8	3	18
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17:16	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Koper - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.3%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Koper
Slovenian PrvaLiga
12.09.26	Koper - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Celje - Koper	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Koper	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Mura - Koper	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Koper - NK Bravo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWT
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.09.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Nafta	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Nafta - Radomlje	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nafta - Maribor	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Nafta	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Nafta - Celje	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.07.26	Nafta - Koper	0:2
27.04.25	Nafta - Koper	1:5
01.03.25	Koper - Nafta	0:0
03.11.24	Nafta - Koper	1:2
17.08.24	Koper - Nafta	3:0
Slovenian 2 SNL
23.11.19	Nafta - Koper	0:3
18.08.19	Koper - Nafta	2:1

Upcoming Matches