Match Info

Prva liga - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava)

Referee: Halilovic D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Sport TV1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nafta		Maribor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.50	4.33	1.47
	5.25	4.10	1.46	Watch
	6.38	4.37	1.52
	6.05	4.57	1.47	Watch
	6.30	4.05	1.50
	6.70	4.65	1.42	Watch
	5.80	4.20	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6 ↑ (4.79)	4.32 ↑ (3.91)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nafta
15.5%

Draw
21.4%

Maribor
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

23.5%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maribor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nafta - Maribor Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Maribor will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erjavsek L. (G) 98. Dragoner A. 11. Jasaragic A. 20. Kambic L. 41. Lavrencic K. 17. Marosa A. 21. Omrani S. 18. Pihler A. (C) 2. Pirtovsek R. 33. Poredos L. 7. Zorica J.	1. Jug A. (C) 25. Blazic M. 3. Bumbic C. 7. Cipot T. 8. Goncalves C. 23. Karnicnik Z. 6. Mbondo B. 10. Repas Z. 70. Tshipamba I. 4. Viher N. 79. Zahovic L.
Substitutes
. Ferreira A. 29. Gorenc Stankovic T. 90. Jamiu U. 14. Keresztes N. 99. Micic A. 80. Nemeth E. (G) 8. Ogwuche M. 10. Pihler L. 30. Vidnyanszky M.	99. Feta B. 43. Handanovic T. (G) 5. Jevsenak Z. 34. Kikec T. 16. Kokol L. 27. Mlakar L. 38. Osterc N. 11. Reghba A. 44. Rekik O. 14. Seri J. 50. Vidmar L. 29. Vizinger D.
Coaches
Escudero G.	Milanic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Cipot T. ⚽, Tshipamba I. (A),
12', Goncalves C. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
18', 0 - 2, Karnicnik Z. ⚽, Tshipamba I. (A),
43', Bumbic C. ↓, Rekik O. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 2, Poredos L. ⚽, Omrani S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Marosa A. ⚽, Omrani S. (A),
53', Dragoner A. 🟨,
72', Repas Z. ↓, Mlakar L. ↑,
72', Zahovic L. ↓, Vizinger D. ↑,
72', Viher N. ↓, Osterc N. ↑,
73', Omrani S. ↓, Pihler L. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Cipot T. ⚽,
79', Pihler A. ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
79', Kambic L. ↓, Vidnyanszky M. ↑,
82', Vidnyanszky M. 🟨,
84', Karnicnik Z. 🟨,
89', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,
90+3', Osterc N. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 1.

Recent performances by Nafta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maribor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maribor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Maribor is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nafta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Maribor: 44.73% Nafta: 1.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maribor	10	5	5	0	19:8	11	20
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17:16	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Maribor - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.39%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.08.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Nafta	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Nafta - Celje	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Nafta	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Nafta - Mura	5:2 ✺
26.07.26	NK Bravo - Nafta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLTWW
- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
23.08.26	Maribor - NK Bravo	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Maribor - Koper	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Celje - Maribor	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Maribor - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
25.05.25	Maribor - Nafta	0:1
16.04.25	Nafta - Maribor	1:1
08.12.24	Maribor - Nafta	4:0
22.09.24	Nafta - Maribor	0:3
Club Friendly
16.01.24	Nafta - Maribor	0:3
23.05.20	Maribor - Nafta	2:1

Upcoming Matches