The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Korona Kielce 35.2%
Draw 28.7%
Górnik Zabrze 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
28.7%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
30.2%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
63.6%
27.3%
Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
DC - Korona (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 71. Dlugosz W. 23. Rubezic S. 2. Mosor A. 6. Pieczek M. 32. Lingr O. 35. Jakubczyk K. 8. Remacle M. 18. Hellebrand P. 19. Ameyaw M. 14. Stepinski M. (C)
1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 82. Urbanski K. 14. Kubicki J. 8. Bernardo P. 19. Peter Federico 11. Prekop E. 33. Khlan M.
Substitutes
99. Bak D. 67. Barczak N. 21. Ciszek K. 9. Davidovic S. 22. Fassbender M. 86. Gustafson S. 87. Mamla R. (G) 11. Matuszewski K. 30. Mena C. 10. Nono 24. Smolarczyk B. 44. Sotiriou K.
9. Antiste J. 4. Bochniewicz P. 66. Dietz M. 28. Donio B. 6. Hojholt M. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 29. Kania W. (G) 23. Liseth S. 99. Loska T. (G) 18. Sadilek L. 24. Semik K. 21. Zmrzly O.
Coaches
Zielinski J.
Gasparik M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Peter Federico ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Prekop E. 🟨,
62', Remacle M. ↓, Mena C. ↑,
64', Janza E. ↓, Zmrzly O. ↑,
70', Ameyaw M. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
70', Lingr O. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
71', Bernardo P. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
71', Prekop E. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
84', Kubicki J. ↓, Sadilek L. ↑,
84', Khlan M. ↓, Antiste J. ↑,
88', Mosor A. 🟨,
88', Hellebrand P. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
89', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, Peter Federico ⚽, Liseth S. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Korona has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Korona: Davidovic S.
(Abdominal strain)
Nono
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Kubicki J.
(Arm Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Gornik Zabrze: 20.78% Korona Kielce: 1.7%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Gornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
16:8
8
22
6
Korona Kielce
9
4
3
2
12:10
2
15
Last Results with these Odds
Górnik Zabrze - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.