Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	Laola1
Norway	VG+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2, TV6
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Monaco		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.50	8.50	Watch
	1.34	4.80	7.50
	1.34	4.55	7.8
	1.38	5.2	7.56
	1.38	5.18	7.46	Watch
	1.34	5	7.05
	1.36	5.25	8.45	Watch
	1.33	5.4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)	5.11 ↑ (5)	7.72 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monaco
69.6%

Draw
18.3%

Górnik Zabrze
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

18.3%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

17.3%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Monaco - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (G) 2. Vanderson 72. Sane S. 3. Dier E. 20. Nazinho 15. Camara L. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 28. Coulibaly M. 10. Golovin A. 17. Idumbo S. 29. Brunner P.	1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. (C) 4. Bochniewicz P. 21. Zmrzly O. 18. Sadilek L. 66. Dietz M. 82. Urbanski K. 19. Peter Federico 23. Liseth S. 33. Khlan M.
Substitutes
47. Benzahra S. 14. Biereth M. 19. Cabral P. 7. Detourbet M. 5. Kehrer T. 16. Kohn P. (G) 42. Konate O. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 13. Mawissa C. 46. Soubeir A. 4. Teze J. 49. Toure I.	9. Antiste J. 8. Bernardo P. 34. Durdov B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 64. Janza E. 20. Josema 29. Kania W. (G) 14. Kubicki J. 99. Loska T. (G) 11. Prekop E. 2. Warczak P.
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Gasparik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Brunner P. ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
33', Dietz M. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Coulibaly M. ⚽, Nazinho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bochniewicz P. ↓, Josema ↑,
46', Dietz M. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
46', Peter Federico ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Golovin A. ⚽,
52', Khlan M. 🟨,
55', Idumbo S. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
55', Golovin A. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
58', Sacek M. ↓, Warczak P. ↑,
65', Coulibaly M. ↓, Soubeir A. ↑,
66', Zakaria D. ↓, Benzahra S. ↑,
68', Khlan M. ↓, Antiste J. ↑,
75', Vanderson ↓, Toure I. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Biereth M. ⚽,
83', 4 - 1, Antiste J. ⚽, Josema (A),

Preview

First leg result: 3-2.

Monaco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Górnik Zabrze has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Monaco has had a series of away games.

In this match, Monaco is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Monaco will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Monaco: 8.63%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
23.08.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Monaco	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Coventry City - Monaco	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Liverpool - Monaco	2:3 ✺
06.08.26	Monaco - Getafe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLWW
- Górnik Zabrze
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Monaco	2:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Monaco	2:3

Upcoming Matches