Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Korona Kielce		Spartak Trnava

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.11	11.15	Watch
	2.36	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.36)	3.68 ↑ (3.25)	6.98 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce
56.6%

Draw
28.4%

Spartak Trnava
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korona Kielce's performance.

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Trnava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Korona Kielce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Trnava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 70. Antonin 71. Dlugosz W. 3. Matuszewski K. 8. Remacle M. 5. Resta P. 24. Smolarczyk B. 44. Sotiriou K. 14. Stepinski M. 88. Svetlin T. 37. Zwozny H.	1. Frelih Z. (G) 24. Kostrna K. 14. Kratochvil M. 19. Kudlicka T. 93. Metsoko I. 29. Mikovic M. 17. Paur J. 7. Skrbo S. 12. Taiwo A. 27. Tomic M. 23. Twardzik F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Korona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trnava is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce
Club Friendly
14.01.26	CSKA Sofia - Korona Kielce	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.12.25	Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
04.12.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Korona Kielce	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.11.25	Korona Kielce - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLLW
- Spartak Trnava
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Spartak Trnava - Dynamo Malženice	6:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
13.12.25	Spartak Trnava - Skalica	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	DAC Dunajská Streda - Spartak Trnava	3:1 ✺
03.12.25	Podbrezová - Spartak Trnava	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Spartak Trnava - Komárno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

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