Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 18

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Exbud Arena (Kielce)

Referee: Mucha S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Korona Kielce		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.5	Watch
	2.11	3.28	3.87
	2.08	3.28	3.73	Watch
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.1	3.2	3.52	Watch
	2.14	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.95)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce
44.9%

Draw
29.4%

Wisła Płock
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

31.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	21.1%	26.3%

Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wisła Płock will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 24. Smolarczyk B. 44. Sotiriou K. 5. Resta P. 26. Popov V. 8. Remacle M. 88. Svetlin T. 3. Matuszewski K. 71. Dlugosz W. (C) 70. Antonin 15. Niski N.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 19. Edmundsson A. 21. Rogelj Z. 14. Kun D. 8. Pacheco D. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 84. Tavares T. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 30. Nowak W.
Substitutes
61. Budnicki J. 77. Cebula M. 21. Ciszek K. 17. Glowinski M. 27. Kaminski W. 87. Mamla R. (G) 20. Minuczyc K. 11. Nikolov V. 10. Nono 23. Rubezic S. 13. Strzebonski M. 37. Zwozny H.	2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 3. Kalandadze A. 25. Mijuskovic N. 9. Niarchos G. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 66. Salvador I. 37. Tomczyk O. 42. Zajac F.
Coaches
Zielinski J.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Sekulski L. ⚽, Kun D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
59', Niski N. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
59', Popov V. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
68', Remacle M. ↓, Nono ↑,
72', Pacheco D. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
73', Sekulski L. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
76', Matuszewski K. ↓, Ciszek K. ↑,
76', Smolarczyk B. ↓, Budnicki J. ↑,
81', Tavares T. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Sotiriou K. ⚽, Nono (A),
90', Nowak W. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
90', Rogelj Z. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
90+4', Niarchos G. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2.

Recent form of Korona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wisła Płock has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Korona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Korona: Blanik D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Korona: Davidovic S. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Korona won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce
Polish Cup
04.12.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Korona Kielce	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.11.25	Korona Kielce - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Piast Gliwice - Korona Kielce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLT
- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.12.25	Wisła Płock - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.25	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	2:0
04.03.23	Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock	1:0
20.08.22	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	2:1
Club Friendly
08.07.22	Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock	0:2
Polish Cup
22.09.21	Korona Kielce - Wisła Płock	4:3 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.07.20	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	3:1
31.05.20	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	1:4

Upcoming Matches