Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 17

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Exbud Arena (Kielce)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Korona Kielce		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.32	3.1	3	Watch
	2.47	3.09	3.26
	2.59	3.33	2.69	Watch
	2.41	3.04	3.04	Watch
	2.42	2.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.31)	3.09 ↑ (3.03)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce
38.8%

Draw
30.3%

Cracovia
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27.6%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Korona Kielce - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Cracovia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 23. Rubezic S. 44. Sotiriou K. 5. Resta P. 71. Dlugosz W. 27. Kaminski W. 88. Svetlin T. 6. Pieczek M. 9. Davidovic S. 10. Nono 70. Antonin	13. Madejski S. (G) 21. Sutalo B. 4. Henriksson G. 66. Wojcik O. 17. Minchev M. 7. Praszelik M. 6. Al Ammari A. 39. Perkovic M. 14. Hasic A. 9. Stojilkovic F. 11. Maigaard M.
Substitutes
61. Budnicki J. 87. Mamla R. (G) 3. Matuszewski K. 20. Minuczyc K. 11. Nikolov V. 15. Niski N. 26. Popov V. 8. Remacle M. 13. Strzebonski M. 37. Zwozny H.	8. Aleksic M. 22. Biedrzycki B. 15. Glik K. 91. Golonka K. (G) 24. Jugas J. 20. Knap K. 19. Olafsson D. 79. Pila D. 10. Rakoczy M. 27. Ravas H. (G) 61. Traore B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.
Coaches
Zielinski J.	Elsner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Antonin (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Hasic A. ⚽,
61', Nono ↓, Niski N. ↑,
61', Kaminski W. ↓, Remacle M. ↑,
62', Henriksson G. 🟨,
69', Wojcik O. 🟨,
70', Madejski S. 🟨,
73', Davidovic S. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
73', Praszelik M. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
85', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
85', Minchev M. ↓, Olafsson D. ↑,
90', Hasic A. ↓, Pila D. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.

Recent performances by Korona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cracovia has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Korona has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Korona: Ciszek K. (Inactive) Smolarczyk B. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cracovia: Charpentier G. (Inactive) Glik K. (Knee Injury) Klich M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Korona: Cebula M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.11.25	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Piast Gliwice - Korona Kielce	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Korona Kielce	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.25	GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTWL
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.11.25	Cracovia - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia	3:0 ✺
03.11.25	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia	3:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.25	Cracovia - Korona Kielce	2:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.02.25	Cracovia - Korona Kielce	1:1
10.08.24	Korona Kielce - Cracovia	0:2
09.03.24	Korona Kielce - Cracovia	1:1
02.09.23	Cracovia - Korona Kielce	0:0
06.02.23	Korona Kielce - Cracovia	2:1
23.07.22	Cracovia - Korona Kielce	2:0

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