Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 24

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Korona Kielce 2		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.6	2.52
	2.24	3.75	2.67
	2.25	3.61	2.69	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.63
	2.25	3.48	2.63	Watch
	1.98	3.56	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.98)	3.57 ↑ (3.56)	2.68 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
41%

Draw
25.3%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

24.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

23.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Korona Kielce 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Mroz P. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 0 - 2, Waclawek B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 2, Glowinski M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 3.

Korona 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	11	4	2	5	14:15	-1	14
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23:27	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.03.26	Cracovia 2 - Korona Kielce 2	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Stal Kraśnik - Korona Kielce 2	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Świdniczanka Świdnik	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.03.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Star Starachowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	3:1
12.04.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	1:3
02.10.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:3
05.06.21	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	1:2
11.11.20	Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1
31.08.19	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	1:2

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