Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Star Starachowice		Korona Kielce 2

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.60	2.80
	2.05	3.50	2.85
	2.18	3.58	2.68
	2.11	3.9	2.76	Watch
	2.15	3.50	2.65
	2.16	3.80	2.83	Watch
	2.3	3.41	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)	3.61 ↑ (3.41)	2.72 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
42%

Draw
24.9%

Korona Kielce 2
33.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+2%)

Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Stanislawski S. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Karbownik J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 3 - 1, Stanislawski S. ⚽,
83', 🟥,
90+1', 🟥,
90+6', 4 - 1, Galara E. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Star Starachowice won 3.

In recent outings, Star Starachowice has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Korona 2 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Star Starachowice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Star Starachowice has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:12 (averaging 2.7:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Star Starachowice against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 2:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20:21	-1	17
14	Korona Kielce II	14	4	2	8	28:33	-5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Star Starachowice - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.49%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.10.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Star Starachowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Wieczysta II - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Star Starachowice - Wisłoka Dębica	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWTL
- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.10.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Wieczysta II	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Korona Kielce 2	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	3:2
13.09.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	3:2
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:3
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.06.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	1:4
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:4
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.11.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:3

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