Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Star Starachowice		Korona Kielce 2

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.55	2.92
	2.09	3.58	2.93	Watch
	2.08	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2)	3.54 ↓ (3.73)	2.92 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
43.6%

Draw
25.5%

Korona Kielce 2
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

24.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

25.9%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Star Starachowice will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Star Starachowice won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Star Starachowice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Star Starachowice - Wisła II Kraków	4:2 ✺
27.08.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Star Starachowice - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Star Starachowice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTTL
- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Cracovia 2	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Stal Kraśnik	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:3
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.06.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	1:4
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:4
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.11.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:3

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