Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Guldensporen Stadion (Kortrijk)

Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)


	Kortrijk		Lierse

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.1	6
	1.43	4.45	6.3	Watch
	1.42	4.66	7.03
	1.55	3.97	5.77	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.43	4.4	6.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)	4.25 ↓ (4.74)	6.29 ↓ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kortrijk
63.6%

Draw
21.7%

Lierse
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19.5%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18.8%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kortrijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Kortrijk - Lierse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ilic M. (G) 15. Fofana M. 22. Ruyssen G. 5. Ndjeungoue J. 14. De Smet L. 19. Dejaegere B. (C) 35. Lambert B. 3. Anderson M. 10. Hens L. 18. van Landschoot J. 68. Ambrose T.	12. De Smet J. (G) 66. Mertens J. 21. De Kerf B. 2. Perdichizzi P. (C) 77. Masaki H. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 36. Asare D. 4. Vanderhallen S. 48. Gboua Y. 9. Adinany B. 14. De Buyser W.
Substitutes
29. Boussadia M. 8. Challouk Y. 6. De Smet L. 13. De Vlaeminck E. (G) 2. Gueye M. 21. Himpe K. 90. Ogbuehi S. 40. Verbauwhede L. 49. Wirsiy Nsolo F.	8. Daguin V. 17. Demuynck D. 27. De Peuter D. 45. De Ridder N. 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 94. Lenaerts M. 26. Van Elsuwege T. 19. Vermeulen T. 61. Vroman K. (G)
Coaches
Jonckheere M.	Shoffner J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Hens L. ⚽,
63', Mayoka-Tika N. 🟨,
65', Mertens J. 🟨,
71', Mayoka-Tika N. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
77', Dejaegere B. ↓, De Smet L. ↑,
77', De Buyser W. ↓, Daguin V. ↑,
78', De Smet L. ↓, Ogbuehi S. ↑,
86', van Landschoot J. ↓, Wirsiy Nsolo F. ↑,
86', Gboua Y. ↓, Vermeulen T. ↑,
86', Mertens J. ↓, De Ridder N. ↑,
90', Hens L. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
90+2', Perdichizzi P. 🟨,
90+2', Vanderhallen S. 🟨,
90+3', Ambrose T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kortrijk won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Kortrijk has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kortrijk is the obvious favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kortrijk won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kortrijk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.08.25	Anderlecht U23 - Kortrijk	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Kortrijk - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Harelbeke - Kortrijk	2:2 ✺
09.07.25	AEK Athens - Kortrijk	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Livingston - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLT
- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.08.25	Lierse - Beveren	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Thes Sport - Lierse	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Lierse - Berchem	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Lierse - Dender EH	1:5 ✺
29.06.25	Tienen - Lierse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.04.18	Kortrijk - Lierse	2:1
14.04.18	Lierse - Kortrijk	0:2
15.03.15	Lierse - Kortrijk	0:0
08.11.14	Kortrijk - Lierse	1:0
Club Friendly
05.07.14	Lierse - Kortrijk	0:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.14	Kortrijk - Lierse	3:4
21.09.13	Lierse - Kortrijk	2:0

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