Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 20

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.1	1.67	Watch
	4.7	3.65	1.63
	4.92	4.05	1.65
	5	3.94	1.64	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
	5.04	3.8	1.61
	4.7	3.65	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (2.56)	3.83 ↑ (3.14)	1.64 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
19.2%

Draw
24.2%

Stal Stalowa Wola
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kotwica Kołobrzeg's form might have worsened.

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Stalowa Wola's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Stalowa Wola: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 24. Oliveira F. 19. Lasek M. 27. Welna T. 22. Kostevych V. 83. Trojnarski A. 6. Kort K. 70. Krekovic L. 10. Cywinski M. 13. Kurowski M. 9. Kozlowski F.	12. Piekutowski M. (G) 55. Oko D. 22. Banach J. (C) 4. Furtak L. 26. Zaucha P. 10. Walski M. 21. Mydlarz M. 24. Urban D. 8. Thiago 7. Ibe-Torti K. 11. Strozik S.
Substitutes
. Barzyk O. . Halec P. . Krzepisz K. (G) . Obloj K. 23. Strojek K. . Zietek L.	77. Bida B. 6. Gvozdenovic B. 2. Kukulowicz B. 5. Mehremic A. 19. Niepsuj D. 20. Pioterczak B. 29. Ruszel M. 33. Smylek M. (G) 30. Wojtkowski K.
Coaches
Tworek P.	Pietrzykowski I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Thiago (Pen),
34', 0 - 1, Ibe-Torti K. ⚽, Zaucha P. (A),
40', Trojnarski A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mydlarz M. ↓, Wojtkowski K. ↑,
60', Urban D. ↓, Kukulowicz B. ↑,
61', Oliveira F. 🟨,
68', Lasek M. ↓, Zietek L. ↑,
75', Cywinski M. 🟨,
76', Thiago ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
77', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Bida B. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Kozlowski F. ⚽, Krekovic L. (A),
90', Kukulowicz B. 🟨,
90+5', Kukulowicz B. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 3.

Stal Stalowa Wola is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stal Stalowa Wola have a series of home games.

In this match Stal Stalowa Wola is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.12.24	GKS Tychy - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	4:0 ✺
30.11.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Wisła Płock	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Termalica Nieciecza	0:5 ✺
08.11.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLWLL
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Club Friendly
07.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chełmianka Chełm	1:4 ✺
07.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Wieczysta Kraków	3:3 ✺
31.01.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
31.01.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Resovia Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:2
Polish Division 2
27.04.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1
18.10.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0
06.05.17	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:2
08.10.16	Stal Stalowa Wola - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:1
28.05.16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0
07.11.15	Stal Stalowa Wola - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:0

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