Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.95
	3.9	3.4	1.83
	3.55	3.4	2.01	Watch
	3.62	3.88	1.89
	3.61	3.52	1.98	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.73	3.44	1.91
	3.55	3.4	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (4.58)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	1.95 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
25.6%

Draw
26.8%

Znicz Pruszków
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

26%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

25.6%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kotwica Kołobrzeg's performance.

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Znicz Pruszków might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kotwica Kołobrzeg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Znicz Pruszków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Users Predictions: Znicz Pruszków will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 10. Cywinski M. 45. Favorov D. 6. Kort K. 9. Kozlowski F. 70. Krekovic L. 15. Kurowski M. 11. Musolitin M. 24. Oliveira F. 30. Sadovski U. 27. Welna T.	12. Misztal P. (C) 29. Borecki M. 44. Gora L. 26. Kendzia F. 99. Koprowski O. 9. Majewski R. 30. Nowak W. 80. Plewka P. 8. Proczek T. 77. Romanowski P. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
2. Cucos C. 22. Kostevych V. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 19. Lasek M. 8. Ramos L. 99. Skiba D. 83. Trojnarski A.	10. Ciepiela B. 13. Imai K. 33. Jasinski M. 19. Karol M. 17. Kazimierczak A. 11. Moskwik P. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 14. Okhronchuk V. 7. Sokol D.
Coaches
Tworek P.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Gora L. ↓, Okhronchuk V. ↑,
32', Borecki M. 🟨,
41', Sadovski U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Proczek T. ↓, Sokol D. ↑,
61', Borecki M. ↓, Moskwik P. ↑,
61', Romanowski P. ↓, Ciepiela B. ↑,
67', Sadovski U. ↓, Skiba D. ↑,
83', Kurowski M. ↓, Trojnarski A. ↑,
86', Favorov D. 🟨,
87', Majewski R. ↓, Kazimierczak A. ↑,
90+1', Kozlowski F. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
90+2', Ciepiela B. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 1.

Recent matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Znicz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Znicz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Znicz is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
09.03.25	Polonia Warsaw - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Stal Rzeszów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TTLTT
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
08.03.25	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Znicz Pruszków - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Wisła Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	4:0
Polish Division 2
25.02.23	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:1
30.07.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	2:1
21.05.16	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:0
30.10.15	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	1:1
07.06.15	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:3
15.11.14	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	1:1

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