Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 25

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.6
	1.52	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.54	4.4	5.17
	1.55	4.32	5.17
	1.4	4.4	5
	1.49	4.51	5.31	Watch
	1.56	4.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	4.37 ↑ (4)	4.99 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
60.7%

Draw
21%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

22.6%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Users Predictions: Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Michalski K. (G) 10. Cywinski M. 39. Jonathan Junior 7. Kosakiewicz L. (C) 21. Kozajda M. 70. Krekovic L. 77. Madembo T. 99. Nowak O. 24. Oliveira F. 80. Petrovic Z. 27. Welna T.	1. Weirauch S. (G) 9. Adamski R. 5. Karasinski S. 6. Kizyma M. 8. Kocaba F. 10. Kolan J. 11. Kruszelnicki P. 4. Lepczynski K. 2. Orlikowski I. 3. Sochan K. 7. Terlecki K.
Substitutes
29. Bykowski M. 6. Kort K. 88. Koziol M. (G) 9. Kozlowski F. 4. Polak C. 5. Pytlewski P. 14. Stasiak A. 66. Witasik P.	15. Antkiewicz F. 14. Dudzinski D. 13. Dziewiatowski M. 12. Matysek A. (G) 17. Popielec C. 16. Regula M. 18. Szafranek W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Karasinski S. ⚽,
15', Madembo T. 🟨,
25', Krekovic L. 🟨,
28', Orlikowski I. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Jonathan Junior ⚽,
45+1', Welna T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Madembo T. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
46', Petrovic Z. ↓, Kort K. ↑,
46', Kolan J. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
61', Welna T. 🟨,
64', Kolan J. 🟨,
66', Krekovic L. ↓, Pytlewski P. ↑,
66', Cywinski M. ↓, Murawski S. ↑,
72', Terlecki K. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Kruszelnicki P. ⚽,
76', Kizyma M. 🟨,
81', Adamski R. ↓, Szafranek W. ↑,
81', Kizyma M. ↓, Dudzinski D. ↑,
81', Nowak O. ↓, Kozlowski F. ↑,
87', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Antkiewicz F. ↑,
90+4', Regula M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Kotwica Kołobrzeg is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 2
05.04.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
28.03.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Radunia Stężyca - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLT
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
05.04.24	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
20.09.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:3
Polish Cup
02.08.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1
Polish Division 2
15.04.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:1
10.09.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:0

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