Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: De Zwaaier (Werkendam)

Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)


	Kozakken Boys		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	3	4	2.1
	2.85	3.6	2.05
	3.15	3.6	2.05
	2.9	3.75	2.05
	2.99	3.9	2.02
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.06	3.82	2.08
	2.95	3.85	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.96)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kozakken Boys
30.7%

Draw
24.6%

ADO Den Haag
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

25%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

23.7%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kozakken Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Kozakken Boys - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Kozakken Boys is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Den Haag is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Den Haag could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Den Haag will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kozakken Boys
Dutch Tweede Divisie
10.12.22	Excelsior Maassluis - Kozakken Boys	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Kozakken Boys - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	4:1 ✺
26.11.22	Koninklijke HFC - Kozakken Boys	3:1 ✺
19.11.22	Kozakken Boys - Katwijk	3:1 ✺
12.11.22	HHC Hardenberg - Kozakken Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWL
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.01.23	Dordrecht - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
16.12.22	ADO Den Haag - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Almere City - ADO Den Haag	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.12.22	ADO Den Haag - Sparta Rotterdam	0:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.11.22	ADO Den Haag - Roda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLLL

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