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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Maassluis 39.5%
Draw 25.9%
Kozakken Boys 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
26.9%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
26.3%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Maassluis's performance.
Kozakken Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kozakken Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Maassluis that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kozakken Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Excelsior Maassluis - Kozakken Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 4. Heuvelman D. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 2. Tureaij C. 8. Udenhout J. 19. van der Velden S. 10. Madi A. 21. Nagtegaal N. 11. Tavares Q. 17. Slagveer D. 27. Plank D.
1. ten Hove R. (G) 2. Keukens F. 23. Giebels J. 6. Sas T. 24. Damen G. 21. Veenhoven M. 20. den Besten D. 12. Stout G. (C) 10. El Khayati N. 99. Fermina C. 9. Thomassen J.
Substitutes
39. Boukhari H. 26. Bronder S. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 37. Hulshoff D. 12. Riley B. 6. van Eerden J.
7. Hassan M. 3. Hop S. 17. Jalloh S. 16. Koorevaar J. (G) 15. Soetens S. 8. Timan D. 14. Versluis D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Veenhoven M. ↓, Hop S. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, van der Velden S. ⚽,
56', Damen G. ↓, Versluis D. ↑,
56', El Khayati N. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
63', Heuvelman D. 🟨,
66', Thomassen J. ↓, Jalloh S. ↑,
73', Nagtegaal N. ↓, van Eerden J. ↑,
73', Tavares Q. ↓, Hulshoff D. ↑,
79', Van der Kleij T. 🟨,
79', Ringeling K. 🟨,
79', Plank D. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Versluis D. (Penalty Awarded),
82', 1 - 2, Jalloh S. ⚽,
84', Versluis D. 🟨,
85', Fermina C. ↓, Timan D. ↑,
85', Slagveer D. ↓, Riley B. ↑,
85', Madi A. ↓, Boukhari H. ↑,
89', Keukens F. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 0.
Excelsior Maassluis is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kozakken Boys is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Kozakken Boys
8
5
2
1
23:12
11
17
Last Results with these Odds
Excelsior Maassluis - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.08%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Van der Kleij T. (G) 
Fermina C. 
Hassan M. 
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