Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Omonia TV


	AEK Larnaca		Omonia

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.05	2.35
	3.34	2.99	2.44
	3	3.12	2.44
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	3.17	2.91	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.85)	3.03 ↑ (2.82)	2.39 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
30.5%

Draw
30.6%

Omonia
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

32.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

32.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

AEK Larnaca - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Omonia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 11. Bajic R. 22. Ekpolo G. 14. Garcia A. (C) 9. Ivanovic D. 23. Izquierdo J. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. 17. Pons P. 27. Roberge V. 8. Rohden M.	98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 74. Andreou P. 29. Balkovec J. 5. Coulibaly S. (C) 2. Dionkou A. 11. Ewandro 14. Maric M. 19. Mmaee R. 30. Panagiotou N. 7. Semedo W. 22. Tankovic M.
Substitutes
86. Cardero A. 13. Gurfinkel Y. 2. Ioannou P. 6. Jimmy Suarez 12. Komar K. (G) 25. Kyriakou C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 21. Miramon 32. Mudrazija R. 29. Naoum G. 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 10. Rubio W.	20. Andreou E. 10. Chatzigiovanis A. 82. Christou A. 6. Eiting C. 44. Erakovic N. 8. Jovetic S. 31. Kousoulos I. 21. Masouras G. 78. Michail P. (G) 85. Neofytou A. 28. Odubajo M. 27. Simic S.
Coaches
Rozada J.	Berg H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Ivanovic D. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Mmaee R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Izquierdo J. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Mmaee R. ⚽,
77', Pons P. ↓, Mudrazija R. ↑,
78', Ekpolo G. ↓, Miramon ↑,
81', Tankovic M. ↓, Jovetic S. ↑,
81', Ewandro ↓, Christou A. ↑,
81', Andreou P. ↓, Kousoulos I. ↑,
84', Garcia A. ↓, Gurfinkel Y. ↑,
84', Rohden M. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
89', Semedo W. ↓, Erakovic N. ↑,
90', Panagiotou N. 🟨,
90+3', Maric M. ↓, Eiting C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 1.

In recent matches, AEK Larnaca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Omonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Injury) Cabrera E. (Injury) Chacon Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Omonia: Fabiano Freitas (Inactive) Kitsos F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Jimmy Suarez (Groin Injury) Saborit E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
3	Omonia	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
05.04.26	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace	1:2 ET ✺
Cypriot First Division
16.03.26	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWLWT
- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
04.04.26	Omonia - Paphos	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Aris Limassol - Omonia	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Omonia - Olympiacos Nicosia	5:0 ✺
07.03.26	Omonia Aradippou - Omonia	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Omonia - Apollon Limassol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot Cup
14.01.26	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	2:1
Cypriot First Division
15.12.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	1:1
17.09.25	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	1:0
Cypriot Cup
07.05.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	2:1
30.04.25	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	0:0
Cypriot First Division
22.04.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	1:1
16.03.25	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	1:1

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