Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 7

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Omonia TV


	AEK Larnaca		Omonia

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.10	2.35
	2.90	3.10	2.04
	2.80	3.30	2.55
	3.4	3.5	2.07
	2.75	3.15	2.50
	2.66	3.34	2.54	Watch
	2.80	3.25	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.55)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	2.34 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
32.3%

Draw
28.4%

Omonia
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.8%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

AEK Larnaca - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Omonia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Paleari A. (G) 11. Bajic R. 10. Chacon Y. 22. Ekpolo G. 23. Kohler S. 14. Layouni A. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. (C) 21. Miramon 20. Repas J. 4. Saborit E.	40. Fabiano (C) 74. Andreou P. 29. Balkovec J. 11. Costa Ewandro 99. Diony L. 93. Duverne J. 14. Maric M. 7. Montnor J. 77. Nego L. 37. Satka L. 22. Tankovic M.
Substitutes
44. Adoni Z. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 37. Gerasimou D. 2. Ioannou P. 25. Kyriakou C. 28. Mrabti K. 29. Naoum G. 5. Olivan B. 6. Pankov I. 17. Pileas K. 19. Trica A. 3. van der Hoorn M.	20. Brouwers L. 92. Christoforou P. 9. Kakoullis A. 1. Kaminski T. (G) 90. Konstantinidis C. 21. Mayambela M. 78. Michail P. (G) 85. Neofytou A. 28. Odubajo M. 27. Simic S. 17. Tanase F. 44. Viktoros G.
Coaches
Selles R.	Berg H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Chacon Y. 🟨,
35', Duverne J. 🟨,
39', Nego L. ↓, Viktoros G. ↑,
45', Milicevic H. 🟨,
45+4', Kohler S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Bajic R. ⚽,
55', Tankovic M. 🟨,
56', Saborit E. 🟨,
65', Chacon Y. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Layouni A. ⚽,
70', Maric M. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
70', Montnor J. ↓, Mayambela M. ↑,
70', Diony L. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
74', Layouni A. ↓, Olivan B. ↑,
83', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Pankov I. ↑,
83', Bajic R. ↓, Trica A. ↑,
86', Tankovic M. ↓, Tanase F. ↑,
90+5', Viktoros G. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 0.

AEK Larnaca is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Omonia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Omonia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, AEK Larnaca has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Omonia holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Foot Injury) Andereggen N. (Red Card) Cabrera E. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Omonia: Akintola B. (Muscle Injury) Coulibaly S. (Inactive) Eiting C. (Knee Injury) Odubajo M. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, AEK Larnaca has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:20 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AEK Larnaca against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	7	5	1	1	13:5	8	16
4	Omonia	7	3	3	1	13:6	7	12

Last Results with these Odds

AEK Larnaca - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.59%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot Cup
21.10.26	AEK Larnaca - Akritas Chlorakas	3:2 AET ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.10.26	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
12.10.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	AEK Larnaca - Nea Salamis	2:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWW
- Omonia Nicosia
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Omonia - Benfica	1:4 ✺
Cypriot First Division
19.10.26	Omonia - Olympiacos Nicosia	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Celje - Omonia	0:3 ✺
Cypriot First Division
09.10.26	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Omonia	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Omonia - Krasava Ypsonas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
10.05.26	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	1:1
14.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	0:2
Cypriot Cup
14.01.26	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	2:1
Cypriot First Division
15.12.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	1:1
17.09.25	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	1:0
Cypriot Cup
07.05.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	2:1
30.04.25	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	0:0

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