Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 11

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Krasnodar 2		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.47	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 (2.31)	3.47 ↑ (3.29)	2.78 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar 2
40.1%

Draw
26.7%

Chelyabinsk
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Krasnodar 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Safronov R. (G) 75. Bagrintsev E. 56. Chobanov R. (C) 54. Churikov I. 77. Getman N. 21. Karpov D. 94. Kuchugura D. 36. Mullin K. 57. Plotnikov N. 29. Shakhov V. 28. Zhilkin G.	35. Zadiraka V. (G) 29. Bakhtiyarov A. 33. Gorbachik V. 53. Kazaev Y. 69. Kozlov D. 3. Kuryshev V. 10. Matskharashvili N. 63. Nikitenkov A. 46. Pershin N. 5. Pomerko A. (C) 12. Shiryaev M.
Substitutes
55. Domotsev A. 87. Gubzhokov I. 52. Khabarov V. 26. Kratkov D. 45. Kulikov A. 70. Perederiy K. 73. Shtepa M. (G)	52. Anisimov V. 20. Biblik S. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 4. Mironov I. 11. Nosov A. 72. Novikov O. (G) 27. Palkin V. 19. Pokotylo D. 25. Pushkarev D. 7. Vazitdinov R. 1. Veselov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Chobanov R. 🟨,
18', Getman N. ↓, Kulikov A. ↑,
21', Churikov I. 🟨,
41', Shakhov V. 🟨,
45', Kulikov A. 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
45+2', Shiryaev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matskharashvili N. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
46', Pershin N. ↓, Pokotylo D. ↑,
47', Pokotylo D. 🟨,
57', Kozlov D. ↓, Vazitdinov R. ↑,
66', Bakhtiyarov A. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
70', Karpov D. ↓, Gubzhokov I. ↑,
80', Gorbachik V. ↓, Kosyanchuk R. ↑,
80', Bagrintsev E. ↓, Domotsev A. ↑,
80', Kuchugura D. ↓, Kratkov D. ↑,
87', Pomerko A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Krasnodar 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Chelyabinsk have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Murom	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Ufa - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Krasnodar 2	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Krasnodar 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTL
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Chelyabinsk	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	Chelyabinsk - Veles Moscow	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ufa - Chelyabinsk	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLT

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