Match Info

FNL - Round 12

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Ufa		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	2.69	3.15	2.92
	2.56	3.23	2.88	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.1)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.73 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
34.7%

Draw
30.5%

Chelyabinsk
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Ufa - Chelyabinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (G) 7. Perchenok A. 5. Kutin D. 50. Khomukha I. 17. Ozmanov D. 8. Isaev S. 23. Akhatov D. 22. Yusupov Z. 88. Ageyan M. 10. Gystarov R. 70. Ortiz D.	93. Tuseev I. (G) 66. Gudkov Y. 2. Zhirov A. 5. Gatin B. 27. Kochiev K. 18. Kertanov K. 70. Levin G. 77. Samoilov D. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 17. N'Diaye B. 88. Eza W.
Substitutes
96. Baranovsky A. 40. Chernov A. (G) 77. Chimezie W. 9. Karpuk I. 15. Khabalov A. 69. Khanenko I. 48. Lukyanov A. 21. Matskharashvili N. 19. Mayorov E. 11. Minatulaev O. 24. Mrzljak F. 79. Troyanov K.	79. Abdullin R. 33. Agaev A. 23. Emelyanov D. 22. Gapechkin A. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 72. Novikov O. (G) 14. Palkin V. 15. Pushkarev D. 29. Urvantsev M. 1. Zadiraka V. (G)
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Pilipchuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', N'Diaye B. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
44', Kochiev K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Gatin B. 🟨,
60', Gystarov R. ↓, Mrzljak F. ↑,
62', Akhatov D. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
68', Eza W. ↓, Urvantsev M. ↑,
76', Ortiz D. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
82', Kutin D. 🟨,
88', Perchenok A. 🟨,
89', Nosov A. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Ufa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chelyabinsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chelyabinsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ufa has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Fankom - Ufa	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Arsenal Tula - Ufa	2:2 ✺
15.09.25	Ufa - Ural	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ufa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLLT
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian Cup
25.09.25	Irkutsk - Chelyabinsk	2:3 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
08.09.25	Chelyabinsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
04.09.25	Chelyabinsk - Fakel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
07.04.24	Ufa - Chelyabinsk	2:0

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