Match Info

Date: 2 April 2021, Friday


	Krasnodar 2		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.75
	1.72	3	4.7
	1.63	3.4	4.7
	1.7	3.69	5.27
	1.73	3.4	4.6	Watch
	1.71	3.74	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.77)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	4.87 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar 2
54.7%

Draw
26.4%

Chertanovo
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

28.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

22.5%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnodar 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	20.8%	20.8%

Krasnodar 2 - Chertanovo Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Krasnodar 2 will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Chertanovo will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar 2: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Krasnodar 2 is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Krasnodar 2 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Krasnodar 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL
28.03.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnodar 2	3:0 ✺
24.03.21	Krasnodar 2 - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2 ✺
20.03.21	Orenburg - Krasnodar 2	1:0 ✺
14.03.21	Krasnodar 2 - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1 ✺
10.03.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Krasnodar 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTT
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL
28.03.21	Chertanovo - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
24.03.21	Torpedo Moscow - Chertanovo	3:0 ✺
20.03.21	Chertanovo - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Fakel - Chertanovo	4:1 ✺
10.03.21	Chertanovo - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
09.10.20	Chertanovo - Krasnodar 2	1:0
10.03.20	Krasnodar 2 - Chertanovo	1:2
14.08.19	Chertanovo - Krasnodar 2	1:2
24.11.18	Chertanovo - Krasnodar 2	3:0
12.08.18	Krasnodar 2 - Chertanovo	3:1
Russian FNL Cup
17.02.16	Chertanovo - Krasnodar 2	0:1

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