Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Chertanovo		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.2	1.8
	4.33	3.4	1.8
	3.6	3	1.95
	4.2	3.1	1.79
	4.59	3.34	1.89
	4.33	3.1	1.85
	4.6	3.15	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (4.78)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertanovo
21.5%

Draw
28.9%

Akron Tolyatti
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

28.9%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

23.8%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chertanovo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akron Tolyatti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chertanovo - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Chertanovo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Akron is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Akron is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chertanovo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL
24.03.21	Torpedo Moscow - Chertanovo	3:0 ✺
20.03.21	Chertanovo - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Fakel - Chertanovo	4:1 ✺
10.03.21	Chertanovo - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
06.03.21	Krylya Sovetov - Chertanovo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTL
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
24.03.21	Akron Tolyatti - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0 ✺
20.03.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
14.03.21	Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
10.03.21	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Akron Tolyatti - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
04.10.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chertanovo	1:0
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chertanovo	0:1

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