Match Info

Date: 15 September 2021, Wednesday


	Orenburg		Krasnodar 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	5	9.5
	1.23	5.1	8.5
	1.28	4.6	8.4
	1.29	5.65	9.94
	1.27	4.8	9.5
	1.3	5.5	9.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)	5.11 ↓ (5.7)	9.19 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
72%

Draw
18%

Krasnodar 2
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.3%

16.7%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

7.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Krasnodar 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-38.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orenburg - Krasnodar 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 9).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Orenburg is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Russian FNL
11.09.21	KAMAZ - Orenburg	0:4 ✺
05.09.21	Orenburg - Rotor	0:3 ✺
29.08.21	Orenburg - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.21	Dynamo Stavropol - Orenburg	1:3 ✺
Russian FNL
21.08.21	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL
11.09.21	Krasnodar 2 - Tom Tomsk	2:1 ✺
05.09.21	Fakel - Krasnodar 2	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Krasnodar 2	1:2 ✺
14.08.21	Krasnodar 2 - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
20.03.21	Orenburg - Krasnodar 2	1:0
23.09.20	Krasnodar 2 - Orenburg	1:1

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