Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Fakel		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.5	9.5
	1.33	4.75	8.5
	1.27	4.7	8
	1.31	4.2	8.6
	1.31	5.23	10.65
	1.29	4.5	11
	1.26	5.1	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	4.71 ↑ (4.4)	9.75 ↑ (8.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
71.1%

Draw
19.5%

Chertanovo
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.5%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

82.2%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fakel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Fakel - Chertanovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Fakel in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chertanovo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Fakel is indisputable favorite.

In this match Fakel is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fakel won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
10.03.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Fakel	1:2 ✺
06.03.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	1:3 ✺
27.02.21	Orenburg - Fakel	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.02.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Fakel	0:0 ✺
10.02.21	Fakel - Kaisar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 WWWTW
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL
10.03.21	Chertanovo - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
06.03.21	Krylya Sovetov - Chertanovo	5:0 ✺
27.02.21	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Chertanovo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.21	Khimki - Chertanovo	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	Fakel - Chertanovo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.02.21	Fakel - Chertanovo	5:0
Russian FNL
19.09.20	Chertanovo - Fakel	0:3
03.11.19	Chertanovo - Fakel	4:0
20.07.19	Fakel - Chertanovo	0:0
11.05.19	Fakel - Chertanovo	1:1
24.10.18	Chertanovo - Fakel	2:1
Russian FNL Cup
19.02.18	Fakel - Chertanovo	1:2 penalties

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