Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - GROUP 3 - ROUND 21

Date: 10 November 2022, Thursday


	Krasnoye Znamya		Dynamo Vladivostok

	1	X	2
	4.9	4.1	1.49
	4.4	3.98	1.61	Watch
	5	4.2	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (3.17)	4.09 ↑ (3.53)	1.54 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnoye Znamya
19%

Draw
22.1%

Dynamo Vladivostok
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

25.6%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

25.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnoye Znamya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krasnoye Znamya's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Vladivostok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Vladivostok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnoye Znamya than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnoye Znamya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Vladivostok than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Vladivostok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	12.5%	68.7%

Krasnoye Znamya - Dynamo Vladivostok Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Krasnoye Znamya will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Dynamo Vladivostok will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Vladivostok: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 3 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Group 3 (Promotion Group)).

Znamya Noginsk is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dynamo Vladivostok is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo Vladivostok could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dynamo Vladivostok will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Znamya Noginsk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krasnoye Znamya Noginsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.11.22	Balashikha - Krasnoye Znamya	1:5 ✺
19.10.22	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Krasnoye Znamya	4:0 ✺
15.10.22	Krasnoye Znamya - Kaluga	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Krasnoye Znamya - Salyut Belgorod	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Krasnoye Znamya - Khimki 2	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- Dynamo Vladivostok
Russian Cup
02.11.22	Dynamo Makhachkala - Dynamo Vladivostok	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
27.10.22	Dynamo Vladivostok - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Salyut Belgorod - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:1 ✺
20.10.22	Kaluga - Dynamo Vladivostok	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Dynamo Vladivostok - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
19.07.22	Dynamo Vladivostok - Krasnoye Znamya	3:0

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