Match Info

Date: 19 October 2021, Tuesday


	Krasnoye Znamya		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	3.9	1.51
	4.1	3.8	1.61
	4.38	3.69	1.63
	4.6	4.1	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↓ (6.48)	3.87 ↓ (3.95)	1.59 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnoye Znamya
19.7%

Draw
23.3%

Rodina Moscow
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

23.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

19.5%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnoye Znamya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krasnoye Znamya's performance.

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodina Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnoye Znamya than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krasnoye Znamya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodina Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Krasnoye Znamya - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Znamya Noginsk is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rodina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Rodina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Znamya Noginsk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krasnoye Znamya Noginsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
14.10.21	Kolomna - Krasnoye Znamya	6:2 ✺
10.10.21	Krasnoye Znamya - Kvant Obninsk	1:1 ✺
04.10.21	Saransk - Krasnoye Znamya	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Krasnoye Znamya - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
22.09.21	Krasnoye Znamya - Krylya Sovetov	0:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLWL
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
14.10.21	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
10.10.21	Strogino Moskva - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
04.10.21	Rodina Moscow - Khimki 2	1:0 ✺
30.09.21	Saturn Ramenskoye - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Rodina Moscow - Metallurg Vidnoe	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
29.08.21	Rodina Moscow - Krasnoye Znamya	3:0

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