Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Slavutych-Arena (Zaporizhia)


	Metalurh Zaporizhya		Feniks-Mariupol

	1	X	2
	2.79	3.17	2.38	Watch
	3.22	2.98	2.2
	3.5	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.93)	3.08 ↑ (2.98)	2.19 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalurh Zaporizhya
28.8%

Draw
29.6%

Feniks-Mariupol
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

30.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

30.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks Mariupol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 15. Chervinskyi D. 7. Irodovskyi D. 50. Kirichenko D. 27. Klymenko V. 9. Nekhtiy V. 28. Rudavskyi M. 8. Savitskyi A. 17. Yurechko I.	1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 39. Balan D. 14. Bilyi R. 90. Bogdanov A. 10. Gagun R. 66. Melnyk O. 7. Nepeypiev R. 8. Panchyshyn O. 32. Petko S. (C) 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V.
Substitutes
99. Bilyaev K. 19. Borysenko V. 3. Doroshenko D. 33. Klimov G. (G) 13. Machulyan T. 25. Misanov M. 16. Pasternak N. 23. Slyusar D. 30. Tovkach A. 22. Tuzenko D. 10. Zelinskyi D.	25. Gorin V. 44. Koreshkov V. 77. Kovalyuk R. 84. Kusyi A. 9. Nych N. 16. Radchenko M. 13. Rogachov N. 21. Tkachuk A. 19. Vilkhovyi A. 17. Yanchak V. 55. Zadereyko A. (G) 91. Zaloga M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Remenyak A. ⚽,
14', 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Bandurin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 10).

Metalurh Z has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Feniks-Mariupol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalurh Z won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Vorskla Poltava - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LLLWT
- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.09.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Feniks-Mariupol	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Uzhhorod - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0
06.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:1
19.11.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0
17.09.23	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:2

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