Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 20

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansand)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)


	Kristiansund		Sandnes Ulf

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.1	4
	1.6	4.2	4.8
	1.67	4.56	4.35
	1.57	4	4.2
	1.66	4.45	4.33	Watch
	1.64	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	4.24 ↑ (3.95)	4.34 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
56.7%

Draw
21.9%

Sandnes Ulf
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.2%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kristiansund have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sandnes Ulf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Kristiansund - Sandnes Ulf Predictions

Users Predictions: Kristiansund will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mbaye S. (G) 6. Hopmark A. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 13. Olsen M. 2. Nilsen S. 14. Isaksen J. 16. Konradsen Ceide M. 21. Broholm M. 15. Rakneberg M. 17. Willumsson B. 9. Stokke B.	1. Falch A. (G) 2. Kleppa H. 4. Hay K. 3. Berger E. (C) 11. Stolas A. 8. Moldskred M. 18. Oregaard H. 22. Tadesse H. 9. Diaw M. 10. Hoiland T. 26. Memedov A.
Substitutes
35. Aalberg I. H. 3. Aasbak C. 38. Alemseged A. 31. Alvheim L. 7. Gjertsen T. 24. Igor W. G. 1. McDermott S. (G) 37. Sivertsen O. 26. Williamsen M.	23. Berland E. 19. Braut D. 13. Flolid T. (G) 17. Halgunset I. 15. Jensen H. 25. Osenbroch E.
Coaches
Michelsen C.	Berntsen B.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Recent matches Kristiansund is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sandnes Ulf is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kristiansund could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kristiansund is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kristiansund won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Kristiansund won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.08.23	Fredrikstad - Kristiansund	4:1 ✺
13.08.23	Kristiansund - Jerv	3:1 ✺
05.08.23	Kristiansund - Start	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Raufoss - Kristiansund	3:2 ✺
01.07.23	Kristiansund - Hødd	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLW
- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.23	Jerv - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Sandnes Ulf - Moss	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Sandnes Ulf - Sogndal	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Ranheim - Sandnes Ulf	0:5 ✺
01.07.23	Sandnes Ulf - Åsane	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.05.23	Sandnes Ulf - Kristiansund	1:1
15.08.16	Kristiansund - Sandnes Ulf	2:3
25.06.16	Sandnes Ulf - Kristiansund	0:1
17.08.15	Kristiansund - Sandnes Ulf	3:1
30.04.15	Sandnes Ulf - Kristiansund	2:1

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